The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newport County 18.6%
Draw 23.3%
Swindon Town 58.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.2%
25.3%
52.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.7%
24.7%
53.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Swindon Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
0%
60%
Newport County - Swindon Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Swindon will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tzanev N. (G) 22. Ogunneye H. 15. Jenkins L. 5. Clarke J. (C) 4. Baker M. 17. Davies T. 44. Braybrooke S. 2. Evans C. 14. Whitmore K. 9. Baker-Richardson C. 24. Opoku N.
1. Ripley C. (G) 22. Knight-Lebel J. 17. Tafazolli R. 8. Clarke O. (C) 19. Snowdon J. 7. Nichols T. 18. Kilkenny G. 26. Munroe F. 44. Oldaker D. 9. Glatzel P. 28. Palmer O.
Substitutes
11. Antwi C. 7. Kamwa B. 23. Reindorf M. 21. Spellman M. 12. Thomas J. 32. Warner J. 28. Wright J. (G)
31. Bodin B. 14. Butterworth D. 20. Ehibhatiomhan P. 21. Murphy A. 12. Ward L. (G) 16. Wilson-Brown T. 5. Wright W.
Coaches
Hughes D.
Holloway I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Jenkins L. 🟨,
10', 0 - 1, Palmer O. ⚽, Munroe F. (A),
17', Whitmore K. 🟨,
32', Evans C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Nichols T. 🟨,
57', Evans C. ↓, Antwi C. ↑,
57', Baker-Richardson C. ↓, Reindorf M. ↑,
59', Munroe F. 🟨,
65', Oldaker D. ↓, Butterworth D. ↑,
70', Clarke J. ↓, Kamwa B. ↑,
70', Opoku N. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
73', Glatzel P. 🟨,
82', Glatzel P. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
88', Nichols T. ↓, Murphy A. ↑,
88', Tafazolli R. ↓, Wilson-Brown T. ↑,
90+2', Murphy A. 🟨,
90+6', Spellman M. 🟨,
90+7', Butterworth D. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 2.
Newport is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Swindon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Swindon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Swindon is seen as the favorite.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Newport won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 0.9:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).
United-kingdom
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Tzanev N. (G) 
Ogunneye H. 
Jenkins L. 
Opoku N. 
Knight-Lebel J. 
Kilkenny G. 
Glatzel P. 
Kamwa B. 
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