The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tranmere Rovers 60.9%
Draw 24.2%
Newport County 14.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.8%
22.5%
14.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
17.4%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tranmere Rovers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Tranmere Rovers - Newport County Predictions
Users Predictions:
Tranmere Rovers will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Murphy J. (G) 14. Joseph J. 16. Lowe J. 5. Smith N. 3. Brough P. 11. Patrick O. 42. Kenneh N. 6. Smallwood R. (C) 25. Harris T. 29. Ironside J. 18. Jennings C.
1. Tzanev N. (G) 22. Ogunneye H. 17. Davies T. 4. Baker M. (C) 15. Jenkins L. 44. Braybrooke S. 14. Whitmore K. 11. Antwi C. 7. Kamwa B. 24. Opoku N. 23. Reindorf M.
Substitutes
12. Barrett J. (G) 24. Blacker B. 10. Davison J. 2. Norman C. 20. Solomon S. 4. Turnbull J. 7. Whitaker C.
9. Baker-Richardson C. 5. Clarke J. 2. Evans C. 19. Garner G. 20. Lloyd B. 21. Spellman M. 28. Wright J. (G)
Coaches
Crosby A.
Hughes D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Reindorf M. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Joseph J. ⚽, Jennings C. (A),
37', Jenkins L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Jennings C. ↓, Davison J. ↑,
46', Harris T. ↓, Whitaker C. ↑,
48', Joseph J. 🟨,
61', Whitmore K. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
61', Reindorf M. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
61', Opoku N. ↓, Garner G. ↑,
66', Joseph J. ↓, Norman C. ↑,
66', Kenneh N. ↓, Solomon S. ↑,
75', Ogunneye H. ↓, Baker-Richardson C. ↑,
76', Murphy J. 🟨,
78', Ironside J. ↓, Turnbull J. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Baker-Richardson C. ⚽, Spellman M. (A),
90+1', Baker-Richardson C. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 22).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 4.
Recent performances by Tranmere have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Newport is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Newport may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Tranmere is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Tranmere: Dennis K.
(Calf Injury)
Finley S.
(Suspended)
Williams J.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Newport: Patten K.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Newport: Shephard L.
(Inactive)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Tranmere won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.9:1).
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Murphy J. (G) 
Joseph J. 
Kenneh N. 
Tzanev N. (G) 
Davies T. 
Kamwa B. 
Opoku N. 
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