The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chesterfield 66.2%
Draw 20.2%
Newport County 13.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.9%
19.5%
11.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.9%
13.3%
17.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-19.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chesterfield that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
28.6%
28.6%
Chesterfield - Newport County Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Newport will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
1. Hemming Z. (G) 30. Tanton D. 22. Dunkley C. (C) 5. Grimes J. 19. Gordon L. 13. Fleck J. 8. Stirk R. 7. Mandeville L. 25. Dickson W. 17. Dobra A. 9. Grigg W.
1. Tzanev N. (G) 22. Ogunneye H. 15. Jenkins L. 4. Baker M. (C) 17. Davies T. 14. Whitmore K. 44. Braybrooke S. 11. Antwi C. 7. Kamwa B. 24. Opoku N. 23. Reindorf M.
Substitutes
28. Berry-McNally J. 10. Bonis L. 20. Daley-Campbell V. 27. Darcy R. 3. Lewis A. 24. Markanday D. 4. Naylor T.
9. Baker-Richardson C. 5. Clarke J. 3. Driscoll-Glennon A. 2. Evans C. 20. Lloyd B. 21. Spellman M. 28. Wright J. (G)
Coaches
Cook P.
Hughes D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
31', Mandeville L. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Grigg W. ⚽, Mandeville L. (A),
43', 2 - 0, Dickson W. ⚽, Mandeville L. (A),
45+3', Stirk R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Antwi C. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
61', Opoku N. ↓, Baker-Richardson C. ↑,
65', Ogunneye H. 🟨,
66', Grigg W. ↓, Bonis L. ↑,
67', Mandeville L. ↓, Markanday D. ↑,
67', Dickson W. ↓, Darcy R. ↑,
67', Tanton D. ↓, Daley-Campbell V. ↑,
77', Fleck J. 🟨,
78', Reindorf M. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
79', Fleck J. ↓, Naylor T. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Spellman M. ⚽, Whitmore K. (A),
83', Spellman M. 🟨,
84', 3 - 1, Darcy R. ⚽, Dobra A. (A),
89', 4 - 1, Markanday D. ⚽,
89', Whitmore K. ↓, Lloyd B. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 22).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 3.
Recent form of Chesterfield has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Newport has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Chesterfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Chesterfield is the clear favorite.
There will not play in Chesterfield: Butterfield L.
(Foot Injury)
Dibley-Dias M.
(Injury)
Donacien J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Duffy D.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Newport: Patten K.
(Inactive)
Shephard L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Smith M.
(Back Injury)
There are questionable in Chesterfield: Williams T.
(Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).