Match Info

League Two - Round 14

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Exercise Stadium (Harrogate)

Referee: Mather S. (Eng)


	Harrogate Town		Newport County

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.3	3.6	Watch
	2.02	3.35	3.55	Watch
	2.02	3.44	3.99
	1.91	3.46	3.79	Watch
	2.02	3.32	3.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.89)	3.37 ↓ (3.44)	3.71 ↓ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harrogate Town
47.1%

Draw
27.7%

Newport County
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

27%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

27.1%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Harrogate Town - Newport County Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Harrogate (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Harrogate Town will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Oxley M. (G) 2. Asare Z. 5. Bradbury T. 20. Faulkner B. 3. Slater J. 11. Duke-McKenna S. 27. Fox B. 14. McAleny C. 4. Evans J. (C) 22. Smith R. 18. Muldoon J.	28. Wright J. (G) 22. Ogunneye H. 15. Jenkins L. (C) 2. Evans C. 12. Thomas J. 20. Lloyd B. 44. Braybrooke S. 11. Antwi C. 14. Whitmore K. 19. Garner G. 9. Baker-Richardson C.
Substitutes
31. Belshaw J. (G) 6. Burrell W. 25. Cursons T. 8. Morris B. 15. O'Connor A. 17. Sutton L. 21. Taylor E.	27. Alexander-Walker M. 6. Brennan C. 3. Driscoll-Glennon A. 7. Kamwa B. 25. Odimayo A. 23. Reindorf M. 1. Tzanev N. (G)
Coaches
Weaver S.	Hughes D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Baker-Richardson C. ⚽, Whitmore K. (A),
44', Evans J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 0 - 2, Faulkner B. (Own goal),
51', 0 - 3, Antwi C. ⚽, Whitmore K. (A),
53', Muldoon J. 🟨,
61', Fox B. ↓, Morris B. ↑,
61', Smith R. ↓, Taylor E. ↑,
69', McAleny C. ↓, O'Connor A. ↑,
71', Baker-Richardson C. ↓, Reindorf M. ↑,
71', Whitmore K. ↓, Brennan C. ↑,
82', Garner G. ↓, Kamwa B. ↑,
90+1', Lloyd B. ↓, Odimayo A. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Harrogate might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Harrogate: Barnes L. (Inactive) Bennett M. (Inactive) Cass L. (Ankle Injury) Hill T. (Hamstring Injury) Thomson G. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Newport: Lloyd B. (International duty) Patten K. (Broken Leg) Shephard L. (Hamstring Injury) Smith M. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Harrogate: McCoulsky S. (Inactive)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:23. (average 1.2:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Harrogate won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1.2:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harrogate Town
English League Two
18.10.25	Colchester United - Harrogate Town	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Fleetwood Town - Harrogate Town	3:2 ✺
06.10.25	Harrogate Town - Crewe Alexandra	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
30.09.25	Harrogate Town - Huddersfield Town	1:0 ✺
English League Two
27.09.25	Gillingham - Harrogate Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LLLWW
- Newport County
English League Two
18.10.25	Newport County - Cheltenham Town	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Accrington Stanley - Newport County	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Cardiff City - Newport County	0:1 ✺
English League Two
04.10.25	Newport County - Swindon Town	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Chesterfield - Newport County	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
15.03.25	Newport County - Harrogate Town	3:0
12.10.24	Harrogate Town - Newport County	1:0
27.02.24	Harrogate Town - Newport County	1:4
07.10.23	Newport County - Harrogate Town	1:2
25.04.23	Newport County - Harrogate Town	2:3
27.08.22	Harrogate Town - Newport County	0:4
15.01.22	Newport County - Harrogate Town	4:0

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