Match Info

League Two - Round 12

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: The Broadfield Stadium (Crawley)

Referee: Young A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Crawley Town		Walsall

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.2	Watch
	2.92	3.45	2.28	Watch
	3.06	3.53	2.29
	1.56	3.82	5.78	Watch
	2.98	3.4	2.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.64)	3.52 ↑ (3.28)	2.96 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crawley Town
37.3%

Draw
28.7%

Walsall
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

28.4%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

28.8%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	15.4%	76.9%

Crawley Town - Walsall Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Walsall will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Walsall: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Walsall (1.63) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Walsall (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Walsall (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Walsall will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Walsall (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Wollacott J. (G) 5. Barker C. 3. Conroy D. (C) 28. Flint J. 19. Pereira D. 8. Holohan G. 6. Anderson M. 2. Malone S. 13. McKirdy H. 21. Loft R. 9. Tshimanga K.	1. Roberts M. (G) 33. Browne R. 4. Flint A. (C) 30. Weir E. 14. Comley B. 2. Barrett C. 22. Jellis J. 8. Lakin C. 17. Clarke C. 15. Kanu D. 19. Pressley A.
Substitutes
10. Brown R. 14. Flower L. 7. Forster H. 15. Radcliffe B. 29. Showunmi T. 27. Watson L.	37. Adomah A. 6. Farquharson P. 29. Finnigan R. 12. Hornby S. (G) 9. Matt J. 25. Okeke J. 31. Richards R.
Coaches
Lindsey S.	Sadler M. J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', McKirdy H. (Pen),
32', 1 - 0, Loft R. ⚽, McKirdy H. (A),
37', Clarke C. 🟨,
45', Anderson M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 1 - 1, Barrett C. ⚽, Browne R. (A),
72', Kanu D. ↓, Adomah A. ↑,
72', Comley B. ↓, Finnigan R. ↑,
75', Pereira D. ↓, Forster H. ↑,
79', Jellis J. ↓, Richards R. ↑,
79', Lakin C. ↓, Okeke J. ↑,
79', Finnigan R. 🟨,
80', Tshimanga K. ↓, Watson L. ↑,
89', Clarke C. ↓, Farquharson P. ↑,
89', McKirdy H. ↓, Flower L. ↑,
90+5', Malone S. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 21 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 1.

Crawley is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Walsall is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Crawley: Scott K. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Walsall: Hancock M. (Knee Injury) Williams H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Crawley: Adeyemo A. (Injury) Cashman D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Walsall: Burke H. (Knee Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crawley Town
English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Leyton Orient - Crawley Town	2:1 ✺
English League Two
04.10.25	Cambridge United - Crawley Town	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Crawley Town - Barrow	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Notts County - Crawley Town	4:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
16.09.25	Crawley Town - Aston Villa U21	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW
- Walsall FC
English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Walsall - Northampton Town	0:1 ✺
English League Two
04.10.25	Walsall - Bristol Rovers	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Accrington Stanley - Walsall	1:3 ✺
20.09.25	Walsall - Tranmere Rovers	4:2 ✺
13.09.25	Fleetwood Town - Walsall	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
13.02.24	Crawley Town - Walsall	1:1
24.10.23	Walsall - Crawley Town	1:1
29.04.23	Crawley Town - Walsall	0:0
19.11.22	Walsall - Crawley Town	2:1
18.04.22	Crawley Town - Walsall	1:0
07.12.21	Walsall - Crawley Town	1:1
16.03.21	Crawley Town - Walsall	1:1

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