Match Info

Date: 30 April 2022, Saturday


	Newry City		Dergview

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.6	4.6
	1.59	3.7	4.7
	1.65	3.88	4.66
	1.59	3.8	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.52)	3.75 ↓ (4.07)	4.69 ↓ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newry City
56.4%

Draw
24.2%

Dergview
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

22.2%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

23.5%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Dergview has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newry City than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newry City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dergview than the current prediction. (-2%)

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Preview

Newry City is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dergview is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dergview could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Newry City have a series of guest games.

In this match Newry City is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Newry City won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Newry City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newry City
Northern Irish Cup
26.04.22	Ballymena United - Newry City	1:0 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
23.04.22	Ballinamallard United - Newry City	1:0 ✺
19.04.22	Harland & Wolff Welders - Newry City	0:3 ✺
16.04.22	Newry City - Loughgall	0:2 ✺
09.04.22	Annagh United - Newry City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLT
- Dergview FC
Northern Irish Championship
23.04.22	Loughgall - Dergview	0:1 ✺
19.04.22	Dergview - Annagh United	0:0 ✺
16.04.22	Dergview - Harland & Wolff Welders	2:2 ✺
09.04.22	Dergview - Ballinamallard United	1:1 ✺
26.03.22	Ballinamallard United - Dergview	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
11.02.22	Dergview - Newry City	0:2
22.10.21	Newry City - Dergview	1:2
21.08.21	Dergview - Newry City	0:2
10.03.20	Dergview - Newry City	0:2
12.01.18	Newry City - Dergview	1:0

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