Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 5

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Allianz Riviera (Nice)

Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	ESPN 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5P
Brazil	Xsports
Cambodia	MyTV
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol, fubo Sports Network
China	Migu
Colombia	ESPN 4
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 4
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 6
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 4
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 4
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Prime
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, Digiturk
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 4, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	OneFootball TV


	Nice		Lille

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	2.2	Watch
	3.10	3.50	2.20
	3.25	3.45	2.15	Watch
	3.31	3.47	2.29
	3.15	3.58	2.2	Watch
	3.25	3.45	2.25
	3.3	3.65	2.15	Watch
	3.3	3.7	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↓ (3.47)	3.55 ↑ (3.46)	2.2 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nice
29.7%

Draw
26.9%

Lille
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

27.2%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

26.4%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.7%	14.8%	81.5%

Nice - Lille Predictions

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Lille (2.20) (votes: 82%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Lille will win (22 of 27 users predict this - 81.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.83% – 96.13%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Diouf Y. (G) 5. Abdelmonem M. 55. Ndayishimiye Y. 35. Mandza Tsiendi X. 92. Clauss J. 39. Coulibaly D. 28. Witsel A. (C) 27. Nkounkou N. 7. Hein G. 9. Amoura M. 11. Wahi E.	1. Ozer B. (G) 22. Santos T. 3. Ngoy N. 4. Alexsandro 15. Perraud R. 21. Andre B. (C) 6. Bentaleb N. 8. Mbappe E. 10. Haraldsson H. 19. Onal B. 18. Ueda A.
Substitutes
2. Abdi A. 6. Boudaoui H. 77. Boulhendi T. (G) 10. Diop S. 21. Jansson I. 84. Koutoune H. 29. Ngoumou N. 87. Pereira E. 36. Seidu A.	7. Bakwa D. 26. Cossier I. 12. Gill O. (G) 9. Giroud O. 14. Kjaergaard M. 17. Mukau N. 28. Perrin G. 11. Sahraoui O. 24. Verdonk C.
Coaches
Pantaloni O.	Ancelotti D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Abdelmonem M. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Ngoy N. (Own goal),
45+1', Mandza Tsiendi X. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Mbappe E. ↓, Bakwa D. ↑,
57', Amoura M. 🟨,
58', Ndayishimiye Y. ↓, Seidu A. ↑,
64', Onal B. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
64', Andre B. ↓, Kjaergaard M. ↑,
64', Haraldsson H. ↓, Giroud O. ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Amoura M. ⚽, Hein G. (A),
73', Coulibaly D. ↓, Pereira E. ↑,
74', Wahi E. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
77', Bentaleb N. ↓, Mukau N. ↑,
77', Amoura M. ↓, Ngoumou N. ↑,
78', Nkounkou N. ↓, Abdi A. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Ueda A. ⚽, Kjaergaard M. (A),
90+1', Kjaergaard M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 1.

Nice is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Lille shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Nice could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Lille holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Nice: Abergel L. (Knee Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Mendy A. (Knee Injury) Sanson M. (Surgery).

Confirmed absences for Lille: Igamane H. (Knee Injury) Nianzou T. (Knock).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Nice has recorded 8 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:23 (averaging 1.4:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Nice against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 13:9 goals (averaging 1.4:1 per game).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lille: 4.84% Nice: 0.58%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8:4	4	10
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3:6	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
12.09.26	Auxerre - Nice	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Nice - Le Mans	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Paris FC - Nice	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	Nice - Lorient	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Hull City - Nice	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLTT
- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
13.09.26	Lille - Troyes	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.09.26	Lille - Betis	2:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
03.09.26	Toulouse - Lille	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Lille - Paris Saint-Germain	2:2 ✺
23.08.26	Angers - Lille	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
18.04.26	Lille - Nice	0:0
29.10.25	Nice - Lille	2:0
17.01.25	Lille - Nice	2:1
10.11.24	Nice - Lille	2:2
19.05.24	Lille - Nice	2:2
11.08.23	Nice - Lille	1:1
29.01.23	Nice - Lille	1:0

Upcoming Matches