Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 6

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Allianz Riviera (Nice) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus
Argentina	10:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 5
Canada	09:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	10:00	Disney+
Colombia	08:00	Disney+
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	16:00	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Denmark	15:00	Viaplay
Finland	16:00	Viaplay
France	15:00	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	15:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	21:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	20:00	Vidio
Israel	16:00	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	15:00	Ligue 1+
Japan	22:00	DAZN Japan
Kenya	16:00	Gotv
Mexico	07:00	FOX One
Netherlands	15:00	Viaplay
Nigeria	14:00	SuperSport Football Plus
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	15:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	08:00	Disney+
Romania	16:00	Voyo
Russia	16:00	Okko Prime
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 1x2
South Korea	22:00	Coupang Play
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	16:00	beIN Connect
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	14:00	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+
International	13:00	OneFootball TV


	Nice		Strasbourg

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.6	3	Watch
	2.30	3.60	2.85
	2.22	3.6	3	Watch
	2.31	3.8	3.06
	2.34	3.75	2.78	Watch
	2.25	3.75	3
	2.39	3.82	2.98	Watch
	2.25	3.7	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.23)	3.7 ↓ (3.72)	2.96 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nice
41.8%

Draw
25.8%

Strasbourg
32.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.4%

25.4%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

25.7%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	30%	20%

Nice - Strasbourg Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Strasbourg will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nice (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Diouf Y. (G) 5. Abdelmonem M. 55. Ndayishimiye Y. 35. Mandza Tsiendi X. 92. Clauss J. 39. Coulibaly D. 28. Witsel A. (C) 27. Nkounkou N. 7. Hein G. 9. Amoura M. 11. Wahi E.	1. Jorgensen F. (C) 16. Antwi G. 4. Mitchell J. 31. Coulibaly K. 36. Oso 23. Sousa D. 21. Demba P. 14. Essugo D. 7. Amo-Ameyaw S. 40. Harder C. 80. Yassine G.
Substitutes
6. Boudaoui H. 77. Boulhendi T. (G) 38. Camara A. 10. Diop S. 21. Jansson I. 84. Koutoune H. 41. Morana D. 87. Pereira E. 36. Seidu A.	19. Balde F. 43. Becker Y. 35. Dieme Y. 29. El Mourabet S. 24. Hogsberg L. 28. Noubissie T. 30. Ortega J. 12. Piekutowski M. (G) 10. Reyna G.
Coaches
Pantaloni O.	Oliveira H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
37', Coulibaly D. ↓, Boudaoui H. ↑,
41', 0 - 1, Essugo D. ⚽, Harder C. (A),
45+2', 1 - 1, Demba P. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Oso 🟨,
63', Harder C. ↓, Ortega J. ↑,
63', Sousa D. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
73', Essugo D. ↓, El Mourabet S. ↑,
73', Antwi G. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
73', Wahi E. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
76', Mitchell J. ↓, Hogsberg L. ↑,
79', Diop S. 🟨,
81', 2 - 1, Clauss J. ⚽, Diop S. (A),
86', Hein G. ↓, Jansson I. ↑,
86', Witsel A. ↓, Pereira E. ↑,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 15th and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Nice: Abergel L. (Knee Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Mendy A. (Knee Injury) Sanson M. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Strasbourg: Doukoure I. (Inactive) Godo M. (Muscle Injury) Panichelli J. (Knee Injury).

In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Nice has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:22 (averaging 1:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Nice against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 8:10 goals (averaging 0.9:1.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Nice	8	3	2	3	8:10	-2	11
16	Strasbourg	8	2	1	5	12:18	-6	7

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Nice: 0.26% Strasbourg: 0.11%

Last Results with these Odds

Nice - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 42.36%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
20.09.26	Nice - Lille	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Auxerre - Nice	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Nice - Le Mans	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Paris FC - Nice	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	Nice - Lorient	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLTLT
- RC Strasbourg
French Ligue 1
19.09.26	Paris FC - Strasbourg	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Strasbourg - Monaco	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Troyes - Strasbourg	2:6 ✺
29.08.26	Strasbourg - Lens	2:1 ✺
21.08.26	Olympique Marseille - Strasbourg	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Coupe De France
22.04.26	Strasbourg - Nice	0:2
French Ligue 1
04.04.26	Strasbourg - Nice	3:1
03.01.26	Nice - Strasbourg	1:1
12.04.25	Strasbourg - Nice	2:2
24.11.24	Nice - Strasbourg	2:1
28.04.24	Strasbourg - Nice	1:3
03.09.23	Nice - Strasbourg	2:0

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