Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 23

Date: 13 September 2023, Wednesday

Location: Jiading Stadium (Shanghai)


	Ningbo Professional		Shenzhen Peng City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.55	3.5	1.5
	7.04	3.88	1.49
	7	3.5	1.47
	7	3.9	1.48
	6	3.7	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.72 ↑ (5.31)	3.7 ↑ (3.5)	1.49 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ningbo Professional
13.6%

Draw
24.8%

Shenzhen Peng City
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

26.5%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

25.9%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ningbo Professional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Shenzhen Peng City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shenzhen Peng City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ningbo Professional than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	30%	70%

Ningbo Professional - Shenzhen Peng City Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Shenzhen Peng City will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shenzhen Peng City: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lin Xiang (C) 6. Wu Haitian 35. Yang G. 25. Yang Zhaohui 22. Zhang J. 7. Xi Sunbin 45. Abdushukur E. 9. Sun Yue 11. Li Xin 20. Qi Xinlei 13. Akande A.	20. Zhao Shi (G) 31. Ependi N. 5. Song Yue 16. Li Zhi 26. Egbuchulam C. 7. Xiao Kun (C) 28. Zhang Yudong 33. Zhu Baojie 21. Nan Song 27. Abduweli Behram 11. Garcia E.
Substitutes
4. Bao Shengxin 32. Du Changjie 10. Etti E. 29. Jefferson 18. Lin Chaocan 38. Tu Dongxu 2. Wang Shouting 34. Wang Xiaofeng (G) 21. Wu Y. 23. Wu Yufan 40. Xie Zhiwei 27. Zhang Aokai	25. Abdukerim O. 6. Chen Yi 39. Li Bowen 37. Liu Yujie 1. Li Zhizhao (G) 40. Ma Canjie 18. Muhta Muzapar 32. Song Chen 17. Wang Qi 4. Wang Qiao 23. Xia Dalong 29. Zhao Z.
Coaches
Yang Lin	Tato J.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

Recent matches Shanghai Jiading Huilong is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sichuan Jiuniu is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sichuan Jiuniu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sichuan Jiuniu is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Shanghai Jiading Huilong won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Shanghai Jiading Huilong won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ningbo Professional
Chinese Jia League
10.09.23	Ningbo Professional - Heilongjiang Ice City	1:0 ✺
02.09.23	Suzhou Dongwu - Ningbo Professional	1:1 ✺
27.08.23	Qingdao West Coast - Ningbo Professional	2:0 ✺
19.08.23	Ningbo Professional - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:0 ✺
13.08.23	Ningbo Professional - Nanjing City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WTLWT
- Shenzhen Peng City
Chinese Jia League
09.09.23	Suzhou Dongwu - Shenzhen Peng City	0:2 ✺
02.09.23	Shenzhen Peng City - Qingdao West Coast	2:3 ✺
26.08.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Shenzhen Peng City	0:2 ✺
20.08.23	Dandong Tengyue - Shenzhen Peng City	1:2 ✺
13.08.23	Shenzhen Peng City - Jiangxi Lushan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
04.06.23	Shenzhen Peng City - Ningbo Professional	2:0
05.07.22	Ningbo Professional - Shenzhen Peng City	1:2
16.06.22	Shenzhen Peng City - Ningbo Professional	2:0

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