Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 21

Date: 31 January 2023, Tuesday

Location: Stade René Gaillard (Niort)

Referee: Toulliou W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Niort		Amiens

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.3	Watch
	3.2	3.1	2.25
	3.3	2.95	2.3
	3.1	3.1	2.26
	3.42	3.08	2.4
	3.25	3.1	2.25
	3.24	3.28	2.25	Watch
	3.15	3.15	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.95)	3.12 ↑ (3.02)	2.29 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niort
29%

Draw
30%

Amiens
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

30.5%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

28.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Amiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niort than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	29.2%	62.5%

Niort - Amiens Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Niort will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). Amiens will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 29.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Amiens: 43.1% – 81.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 6).

Niort has the most likely position - 20 (44.19%), has project points - 35, has currently - 17, has a good chance of relegated (85%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Amiens has the most likely position - 6 (10.86%), has project points - 56, has currently - 30, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

This event has small quality 27, small importance 26, small match rating 26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Niort won 0.

Niort is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Amiens is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Niort could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Amiens will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Niort won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Niort won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chamois Niortais FC
French Ligue 2
28.01.23	Nîmes - Niort	3:2 ✺
Coupe De France
22.01.23	Niort - Auxerre	0:4 ✺
French Ligue 2
16.01.23	Niort - Saint-Étienne	0:1 ✺
10.01.23	Rodez - Niort	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
07.01.23	Granville - Niort	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLTW
- Amiens SC
French Ligue 2
28.01.23	Amiens - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
13.01.23	Bordeaux - Amiens	1:1 ✺
10.01.23	Amiens - Guingamp	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
07.01.23	Thaon - Amiens	1:0 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
30.12.22	Laval - Amiens	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
17.09.22	Amiens - Niort	3:0
12.02.22	Amiens - Niort	3:1
28.08.21	Niort - Amiens	0:0
08.05.21	Amiens - Niort	0:0
08.01.21	Niort - Amiens	0:2
20.01.17	Niort - Amiens	2:1
12.08.16	Amiens - Niort	2:0

Niort - Amiens: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide