Match Info

FRANCE: COUPE DE FRANCE - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 22 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Stade René Gaillard (Niort)

Referee: Buquet R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports Max


	Niort		Auxerre

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	1.95	Watch
	3.5	3.25	1.98
	4	3.05	2
	3.4	3.25	2.01
	4.02	3.38	2.04
	3.6	3.1	2
	3.7	3.44	2
	3.6	3.4	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↓ (3.83)	3.27 ↓ (3.32)	2 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niort
25.2%

Draw
28.4%

Auxerre
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

27.7%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

24.8%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niort has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niort than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	33.3%	58.3%

Niort - Auxerre Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Niort will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Auxerre will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auxerre: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Niort won 0.

Recent matches Niort is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Auxerre is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Niort could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Auxerre will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Niort won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 18-38.

Including matches at home between the teams Niort won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chamois Niortais FC
French Ligue 2
16.01.23	Niort - Saint-Étienne	0:1 ✺
10.01.23	Rodez - Niort	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
07.01.23	Granville - Niort	0:3 ✺
French Ligue 2
30.12.22	Niort - Pau	2:1 ✺
26.12.22	Metz - Niort	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTWWT
- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 1
14.01.23	Lens - Auxerre	1:0 ✺
11.01.23	Auxerre - Toulouse	0:5 ✺
Coupe De France
08.01.23	Dunkerque - Auxerre	2:3 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
01.01.23	Nantes - Auxerre	1:0 ✺
28.12.22	Auxerre - Monaco	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
19.02.22	Niort - Auxerre	0:1
11.09.21	Auxerre - Niort	4:0
10.04.21	Niort - Auxerre	0:4
05.12.20	Auxerre - Niort	6:0
28.02.20	Auxerre - Niort	3:1
27.09.19	Niort - Auxerre	2:2
12.04.19	Niort - Auxerre	0:0

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