Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 20

Date: 28 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade de la Licorne (Amiens)

Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Amiens		Le Havre

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.7	2.95	2.7
	2.63	2.85	2.9	Watch
	2.75	3.15	2.43
	2.82	2.96	2.94
	2.7	2.88	2.8
	2.68	3.08	2.76	Watch
	2.65	3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.72)	3 ↓ (3.02)	2.77 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amiens
34.7%

Draw
31.3%

Le Havre
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

30.7%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

30.3%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	37%	40.7%

Amiens - Le Havre Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Amiens will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). Le Havre will win (votes: 11 - 40.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 37%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 22.2% – 59.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Amiens has the most likely position - 5 (10.26%), has project points - 56, has currently - 29, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Le Havre has the most likely position - 1 (65.46%), has project points - 74, has currently - 42, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of promoted (85%), has a good chance of win league (65%).

This event has quality 39, importance 55, match rating 47. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Amiens won 1.

Recent matches Amiens is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Le Havre is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Amiens have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Amiens won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Amiens won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amiens SC
French Ligue 2
13.01.23	Bordeaux - Amiens	1:1 ✺
10.01.23	Amiens - Guingamp	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
07.01.23	Thaon - Amiens	1:0 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
30.12.22	Laval - Amiens	0:3 ✺
26.12.22	Valenciennes - Amiens	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TTLWT
- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 2
13.01.23	Le Havre - Nîmes	3:1 ✺
10.01.23	Le Havre - Sochaux	1:0 ✺
30.12.22	Paris FC - Le Havre	0:0 ✺
26.12.22	Le Havre - Bordeaux	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.12.22	Lens - Le Havre	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
27.08.22	Le Havre - Amiens	1:1
Club Friendly
16.07.22	Amiens - Le Havre	4:1
French Ligue 2
19.04.22	Amiens - Le Havre	0:2
20.11.21	Le Havre - Amiens	1:1
16.01.21	Amiens - Le Havre	0:0
29.08.20	Le Havre - Amiens	1:0
14.04.17	Amiens - Le Havre	2:0

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