Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 38

Date: 17 May 2024, Friday

Location: Matmut Atlantique (Bordeaux)

Referee: Petit A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Bordeaux		Pau

	1	X	2
	1.7	4	4.1	Watch
	1.73	4.2	3.9
	1.72	4.2	4	Watch
	1.77	4.4	4.09
	1.72	4.4	4.08
	1.7	4.2	3.9
	1.75	4.33	4.07	Watch
	1.7	4	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.76)	4.22 ↑ (4)	4.06 ↓ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bordeaux
54.5%

Draw
22.3%

Pau
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

23.6%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

24%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bordeaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	15.4%	7.7%

Bordeaux - Pau Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Bordeaux will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Pau will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bordeaux: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johnsson K. (G) 81. De Lima M. 24. Marcelin J. 72. Cassubie Y. 14. Nsimba V. (C) 20. Diaz P. 8. Sissokho I. 10. Weissbeck G. 7. Livolant J. 9. Vipotnik Z. 30. Davitashvili Z.	1. Kamara B. (G) 12. Gaspar J. 22. Ahoussou A. 25. Ruiz J. 70. Boli C. 5. Sow N. 18. Ngom O. 8. Saivet H. (C) 27. Mohamed I. 11. Bassouamina M. 7. Sylla M.
Substitutes
33. Grothe E. 36. Marques J. 35. Mouanga Y. 11. Pitu A. 13. Straczek R. (G) 91. Tebili D. 47. Vetro J.	9. Begraoui Y. 33. Colleaux T. 36. Gomes T. 40. Jeannin M. (G) 19. Kante 4. Kouassi L.X. 34. Lembezat A.
Coaches
Riera A.	Usai N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Weissbeck G. ⚽, Davitashvili Z. (A),
16', 2 - 0, Livolant J. ⚽, Davitashvili Z. (A),
45+3', Ruiz J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Ngom O. ↓, Colleaux T. ↑,
46', Boli C. ↓, Begraoui Y. ↑,
46', 2 - 1, Mohamed I. ⚽,
50', Ahoussou A. 🟨,
51', 3 - 1, Davitashvili Z. ⚽, Livolant J. (A),
52', De Lima M. 🟨,
57', Ruiz J. ↓, Kante ↑,
66', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Vetro J. ↑,
68', Bassouamina M. ↓, Lembezat A. ↑,
70', De Lima M. ↓, Grothe E. ↑,
77', Colleaux T. 🟨,
81', Diaz P. ↓, Pitu A. ↑,
84', Gaspar J. ↓, Gomes T. ↑,
89', Mohamed I. 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 2, Sylla M. ⚽, Gomes T. (A),

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 9).

Recent matches Bordeaux is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pau is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Bordeaux is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bordeaux won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Bordeaux won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girondins de Bordeaux
French Ligue 2
10.05.24	Concarneau - Bordeaux	4:2 ✺
03.05.24	Bordeaux - Ajaccio	4:0 ✺
27.04.24	Laval - Bordeaux	1:0 ✺
23.04.24	Bordeaux - Dunkerque	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Saint-Étienne - Bordeaux	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWL
- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
10.05.24	Pau - Bastia	1:2 ✺
03.05.24	Angers - Pau	2:1 ✺
27.04.24	Pau - Guingamp	1:2 ✺
23.04.24	Troyes - Pau	2:2 ✺
20.04.24	Pau - Laval	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
07.08.23	Pau - Bordeaux	3:0
Club Friendly
12.07.23	Bordeaux - Pau	1:1
French Ligue 2
03.02.23	Pau - Bordeaux	0:2
12.11.22	Bordeaux - Pau	1:1
Coupe De France
16.01.20	Pau - Bordeaux	3:2 ET

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