Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 19

Date: 16 January 2023, Monday

Location: Stade René Gaillard (Niort)

Referee: Valnet A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports
Turkey	beIN Sports 4


	Niort		Saint-Étienne

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.6	2.05	Watch
	3.4	3.3	2.05
	3.5	3.3	2.05
	3.3	3.3	2.05
	3.71	3.5	2.09
	3.5	3.25	2.05
	3.5	3.48	2.05	Watch
	3.4	3.4	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (3.16)	3.39 ↑ (3.18)	2.06 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niort
26.9%

Draw
27.6%

Saint-Étienne
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

29.3%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.8%	19.5%	53.7%

Niort - Saint Étienne Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Niort will win (votes: 11 - 26.8%). Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 22 - 53.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 19.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Saint-Étienne: 38.4% – 69%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Niort has the most likely position - 20 (32.62%), has project points - 37, has currently - 17, has a good chance of relegated (74%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Saint-Étienne has the most likely position - 13 (7.44%), has project points - 49, has currently - 18, has a chance of relegated (17%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 29, importance 39, match rating 34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Niort is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Saint-Étienne is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Saint-Étienne could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Niort have a series of guest games.

Recently Saint-Étienne have a series of home games.

Saint-Étienne will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chamois Niortais FC
French Ligue 2
10.01.23	Rodez - Niort	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
07.01.23	Granville - Niort	0:3 ✺
French Ligue 2
30.12.22	Niort - Pau	2:1 ✺
26.12.22	Metz - Niort	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.12.22	Angers - Niort	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 TWWTW
- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2
10.01.23	Saint-Étienne - Laval	1:0 ✺
30.12.22	Saint-Étienne - Caen	1:1 ✺
26.12.22	Annecy - Saint-Étienne	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.12.22	Saint-Étienne - Ajaccio	0:1 ✺
09.12.22	Saint-Étienne - Grenoble	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTLLW

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