Match Info

FNL - Round 9

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Sovcombank Arena (Nizhny Novgorod)

Referee: Zhuravlev O. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Nizhny Novgorod		Volga Ulyanovsk

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.57	6.91
	1.44	4.50	6.80
	1.44	4.38	6.76	Watch
	1.44	4.00	5.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.53)	4.36 ↑ (4.09)	6.57 ↑ (5.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nizhny Novgorod
64.5%

Draw
21.3%

Volga Ulyanovsk
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

22.9%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

22.2%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nizhny Novgorod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Volga Ulyanovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Nizhny Novgorod - Volga Ulyanovsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Medvedev N. (G) 4. Evgenyev R. 27. Grulev V. 66. Gudkov Y. 78. Kalinski N. 3. Koledin Y. 72. Komissarov T. 8. Maiga M. 11. Popolitov G. 9. Sarveli V. 94. Timofeev A.	1. Shakerov R. (G) 50. Bykov A. 9. Folmer K. 4. Ibragimov K. 30. Khabibullin A. 11. Khashkulov A. 99. Kostin A. 7. Nikitin A. 55. Saplinov A. 10. Shagiakhmetov R. 5. Stepanov D.
Substitutes
2. Aleksandrov V. 10. Balboa A. 7. Bober I. 81. Generalov N. (G) 98. Imamov I. (G) 77. Ivlev A. 22. Kakkoev N. 17. Shilnikov G. 69. Sidorenko A. 18. Sokolov A. 29. Ticic L. 80. Tsarukyan V.	23. Baburin E. (G) 77. Bagatelia L. 17. Gershun I. 60. Kasyanov I. 3. Krasilnichenko O. 76. Livadnov V. 28. Novikov D. 8. Rakhmanov D. 22. Rakhmanov D. 14. Yakovlev V.
Coaches
Garanin V.	Belov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', Sarveli V. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Grulev V. ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, Sarveli V. ⚽,
38', 2 - 1, Khashkulov A. ⚽,
41', Popolitov G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Komissarov T. ↓, Bober I. ↑,
56', Shagiakhmetov R. ↓, Krasilnichenko O. ↑,
62', 2 - 2, Nikitin A. ⚽,
63', Sarveli V. ↓, Sokolov A. ↑,
72', Saplinov A. 🟨,
75', Bober I. 🟨,
76', Krasilnichenko O. 🟨,
78', Popolitov G. ↓, Shilnikov G. ↑,
78', Maiga M. ↓, Ticic L. ↑,
83', Folmer K. ↓, Rakhmanov D. ↑,
84', Ticic L. 🟨,
87', Khashkulov A. ↓, Yakovlev V. ↑,
90+2', Koledin Y. ↓, Tsarukyan V. ↑,
90+4', Bykov A. 🟨,
90+4', Nikitin A. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 14).

Nizhny Novgorod is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Volga Ulyanovsk has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Nizhny Novgorod may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nizhny Novgorod is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Nizhny Novgorod will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Ulyanovsk: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Pari NN	12	10	1	1	36:14	22	31
11	Ulyanovsk	13	4	2	7	16:19	-3	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nizhny Novgorod
Russian FNL
24.08.26	Nizhny Novgorod - SKA Khabarovsk	4:2 ✺
19.08.26	Veles Moscow - Nizhny Novgorod	3:2 ✺
15.08.26	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Nizhny Novgorod	1:3 ✺
08.08.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	5:1 ✺
02.08.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Shinnik	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWW
- FC Volga Ulyanovsk
Russian FNL
22.08.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Shinnik	1:3 ✺
16.08.26	Sochi - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:0 ✺
09.08.26	KAMAZ - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:2 ✺
02.08.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Chelyabinsk	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWLW

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