The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sochi 38.4%
Draw 28.5%
Nizhny Novgorod 33.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.1%
27.9%
33.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.9%
27.3%
33.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sochi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Nizhny Novgorod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
The ML Model estimate for Nizhny Novgorod aligns with the current prediction.
Sochi - Nizhny Novgorod Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Degtev A. (G)
8. Ignatov M.
6. Kuzmin M.
4. Litvinov V.
28. Magal R.
17. Makarchuk A.
5. Osipov A.
7. Sheydayev R.
3. Soldatenkov A.
44. Stojic N.
27. Zaika K.
Substitutes
59. Bart R.
9. Fedorov Z.
18. Kaynov M.
22. Kozhemyakin O.
39. Lantrat M. (G)
33. Marcelo Alves
11. Meleshin P.
66. Metsiev A.
60. Nosatiy M.
97. Pasevich R.
85. Silev D. (G)
Coaches
. Osinkin I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Kuzmin M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Komissarov T. ↓, Popolitov G. ↑,
68', Sarveli V. ↓, Bober I. ↑,
68', Kuzmin M. ↓, Kozhemyakin O. ↑,
69', Sheydayev R. ↓, Fedorov Z. ↑,
78', 0 - 1, Popolitov G. ⚽,
82', Sokolov A. ↓, Aleksandrov V. ↑,
83', Gudkov Y. ↓, Shilnikov G. ↑,
84', Magal R. ↓, Pasevich R. ↑,
84', Ignatov M. ↓, Bart R. ↑,
89', Evgenyev R. 🟨,
90+1', Soldatenkov A. ↓, Kaynov M. ↑,
90+4', Grulev V. ↓, Lapinsky S. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 2.
Sochi has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Nizhny Novgorod is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Sochi won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.8:1).
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Degtev A. (G) 
Sheydayev R. 
Stojic N. 
Marcelo Alves 
Pasevich R. 
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