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Current Win Probability
Nizhny Novgorod 30.9%
Draw 29.3%
Rubin Kazan 39.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.3%
28.8%
42.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.2%
28.9%
43.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nizhny Novgorod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Nizhny Novgorod - Rubin Kazan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Medvedev N. (C) 24. Farina E. 25. Karic S. 16. Krashevskiy Y. 70. Shnaptsev M. 77. Ivlev A. 6. Sarfo A. 19. Ermakov N. 88. Lesovoy D. 20. Boselli J. 40. Olusegun O.
38. Staver E. (G) 98. Lobov N. 2. Teslenko E. 51. Rozhkov I. 70. Kabutov D. 14. Kuzyaev D. 6. Iwu U. 22. Hodza V. 12. Arroyo A. 99. Shabanhaxhaj D. 10. Daku M. (C)
Substitutes
2. Aleksandrov V. 81. Generalov N. (G) 27. Grulev V. 78. Kalinski N. 3. Koledin Y. 1. Lukyanov V. (G) 32. Pigas V. 29. Ticic L. 9. Vecino T.
18. Apshatsev M. 23. Bezrukov R. 24. Cumic N. 39. Ezhov I. (G) 19. Ivanov O. 8. Jocic B. 77. Jukic A. 87. Mukba E. 25. Nigmatullin A. (G) 43. Siwe J. 96. Vasiljev N. 21. Zotov A.
Coaches
Shpilevski A.
Rakhimov R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Rozhkov I. 🟨,
39', Hodza V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ermakov N. ↓, Ticic L. ↑,
59', Olusegun O. ↓, Koledin Y. ↑,
68', Hodza V. ↓, Bezrukov R. ↑,
78', Lesovoy D. ↓, Grulev V. ↑,
80', Boselli J. 🟨,
82', Iwu U. ↓, Jocic B. ↑,
82', Shabanhaxhaj D. ↓, Siwe J. ↑,
86', Teslenko E. 🟨,
90+2', Boselli J. ↓, Vecino T. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pari NN won 3.
Pari NN is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Rubin has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Rubin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Rubin has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Pari NN: Ektov A.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Rubin: Nizhegorodov K.
(Red Card)
Shvets A.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Rubin: Iwu U.
(Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Pari NN won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Pari NN won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.5:2.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Nizhny Novgorod - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 28.34%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.