Match Info

Premier League - Round 12

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Ak Bars Arena (Kazan)

Referee: Saraev I. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 9


	Rubin Kazan		Baltika Kaliningrad

	1	X	2
	2.56	2.93	3.36
	2.57	2.93	3.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.52)	2.93 ↓ (3)	3.35 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rubin Kazan
37.9%

Draw
33.1%

Baltika Kaliningrad
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

31.8%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

31.8%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rubin Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Baltika Kaliningrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Rubin Kazan - Baltika Kaliningrad Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Rubin will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Baltika will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Staver E. (G) 2. Teslenko E. 27. Gritsaenko A. (C) 51. Rozhkov I. 70. Kabutov D. 22. Hodza V. 6. Iwu U. 14. Kuzyaev D. 12. Arroyo A. 10. Daku M. 99. Shabanhaxhaj D.	67. Borisko M. (G) 2. Varatynov S. 16. Andrade K. (C) 25. Filin A. 17. Saus V. 22. Titkov N. 10. Petrov I. 23. Beveev M. 73. Petrov M. 91. Gil B. 15. Yenne T.
Substitutes
18. Apshatsev M. 23. Bezrukov R. 24. Cumic N. 39. Ezhov I. (G) 19. Ivanov O. 8. Jocic B. 98. Lobov N. 25. Nigmatullin A. (G) 4. Nizhegorodov K. 43. Siwe J. 21. Zotov A.	26. Belikov I. 77. Civic E. 4. Gassama N. 11. Kovalev Y. 81. Kukushkin I. (G) 13. Luna D. 44. Lyubakov E. (G) 69. Manelov I. 5. Mourid A. 90. Offor C. 19. Pryakhin S.
Coaches
Rakhimov R.	Talalaev A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Gil B. ⚽, Yenne T. (A),
19', 0 - 2, Petrov M. ⚽, Titkov N. (A),
20', Varatynov S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gil B. ↓, Offor C. ↑,
58', Petrov I. ↓, Civic E. ↑,
58', Yenne T. ↓, Gassama N. ↑,
63', Saus V. 🟨,
65', Iwu U. 🟨,
68', Andrade K. 🟨,
68', Petrov M. 🟨,
68', Kuzyaev D. ↓, Siwe J. ↑,
69', Hodza V. ↓, Ivanov O. ↑,
71', Titkov N. ↓, Pryakhin S. ↑,
80', 0 - 3, Beveev M. ⚽,
84', Kabutov D. ↓, Bezrukov R. ↑,
85', Rozhkov I. ↓, Nizhegorodov K. ↑,
87', Petrov M. ↓, Manelov I. ↑,
89', Teslenko E. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 5)

Rubin is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Baltika is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rubin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Baltika: Mendel A. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Rubin won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Baltika Kaliningrad - the odds 3.13 are the expected chance of winning is 30.44%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rubin Kazan
Russian Premier League
04.10.25	Rubin Kazan - Krylya Sovetov	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
30.09.25	Rubin Kazan - Zenit	0:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
27.09.25	Lokomotiv Moscow - Rubin Kazan	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Akron Tolyatti - Rubin Kazan	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
16.09.25	Orenburg - Rubin Kazan	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLTL
- Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian Premier League
05.10.25	Baltika Kaliningrad - Dynamo Makhachkala	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
01.10.25	Baltika Kaliningrad - Akron Tolyatti	3:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
28.09.25	CSKA Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Baltika Kaliningrad - Rostov	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
18.09.25	CSKA Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
10.12.23	Baltika Kaliningrad - Rubin Kazan	0:1
27.10.23	Rubin Kazan - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:0
Russian FNL
20.05.23	Baltika Kaliningrad - Rubin Kazan	0:1
30.10.22	Rubin Kazan - Baltika Kaliningrad	3:3

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