Match Info

FNL - Round 6

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Fisht Olympic Stadium (Sochi)

Referee: Sidorin A. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Sochi		Volga Ulyanovsk

	1	X	2
	1.59	4.18	5.54
	1.56	4.1	5.45
	1.53	4.09	5.88	Watch
	1.5	3.9	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.57)	4.07 ↑ (4.06)	5.44 ↑ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochi
60.1%

Draw
22.8%

Volga Ulyanovsk
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

23%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

22.6%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Volga Ulyanovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sochi - Volga Ulyanovsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Sochi will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sochi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Sochi (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sochi (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
85. Silev D. (G) 4. Litvinov V. 44. Stojic N. 3. Soldatenkov A. 29. Ezhov R. 6. Kuzmin M. 5. Osipov A. 13. Kalinin I. 28. Magal R. (C) 8. Ignatov M. 11. Meleshin P.	23. Baburin E. (G) 8. Rakhmanov D. 4. Ibragimov K. 30. Khabibullin A. (C) 5. Stepanov D. 10. Shagiakhmetov R. 99. Kostin A. 50. Bykov A. 9. Folmer K. 7. Nikitin A. 55. Saplinov A.
Substitutes
59. Bart R. 9. Fedorov Z. 18. Kaynov M. 22. Kozhemyakin O. 17. Makarchuk A. 33. Marcelo Alves 66. Metsiev A. 60. Nosatiy M. 97. Pasevich R. 7. Sheydayev R.	77. Bagatelia L. 17. Gershun I. 60. Kasyanov I. 11. Khashkulov A. 3. Krasilnichenko O. 76. Livadnov V. 28. Novikov D. 22. Rakhmanov D. 1. Shakerov R. (G) 39. Stepanov K.
Coaches
Osinkin I.	Belov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Kuzmin M. ↓, Kaynov M. ↑,
36', Nikitin A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Shagiakhmetov R. ↓, Novikov D. ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Kaynov M. ⚽,
60', Ezhov R. ↓, Sheydayev R. ↑,
60', Meleshin P. ↓, Fedorov Z. ↑,
61', Nikitin A. ↓, Bagatelia L. ↑,
61', Folmer K. ↓, Gershun I. ↑,
66', Saplinov A. ↓, Khashkulov A. ↑,
69', Rakhmanov D. ↓, Krasilnichenko O. ↑,
73', Kalinin I. 🟨,
79', Kalinin I. ↓, Makarchuk A. ↑,
79', Kaynov M. ↓, Kozhemyakin O. ↑,
82', Kozhemyakin O. 🟨,
87', Osipov A. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 13).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Sochi is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sochi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Including home match between the teams, Sochi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Ulyanovsk: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Sochi	12	7	2	3	21:14	7	23
11	Ulyanovsk	13	4	2	7	16:19	-3	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sochi
Russian FNL
08.08.26	Torpedo Moscow - Sochi	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Leningradets - Sochi	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Sochi - Arsenal Tula	5:0 ✺
19.07.26	Sochi - Spartak Kostroma	0:2 ✺
12.07.26	Shinnik - Sochi	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWLT
- FC Volga Ulyanovsk
Russian FNL
09.08.26	KAMAZ - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:2 ✺
02.08.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Chelyabinsk	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:0 ✺
19.07.26	Torpedo Moscow - Volga Ulyanovsk	3:1 ✺
11.07.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
16.10.24	Sochi - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:0

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