Match Info

Date: 29 May 2021, Saturday


	Noah Jūrmala		Liepāja

	1	X	2
	8.25	5.75	1.25
	15	8.2	1.08
	21.92	13.05	1.02
	41	15	1.02
	13	7.9	1.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	19.83 ↑ (6.75)	9.98 ↑ (4.74)	1.1 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noah Jūrmala
4.8%

Draw
9.5%

Liepāja
85.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.4%

19.1%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

10.9%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noah Jūrmala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Noah Jūrmala's form might have worsened.

Liepāja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liepāja's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noah Jūrmala than the current prediction. (+18.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Noah Jūrmala, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (-47.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Liepāja, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Noah Jūrmala - Liepāja Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Liga and 5).

Noah is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Liepāja is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Liepāja could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Liepāja is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Noah Jūrmala
Latvian Virsliga
24.05.21	Noah Jūrmala - Metta	0:3 ✺
20.05.21	Noah Jūrmala - Riga	0:7 ✺
17.05.21	Ventspils - Noah Jūrmala	2:2 ✺
14.05.21	BFC Daugavpils - Noah Jūrmala	1:2 ✺
09.05.21	Valmiera - Noah Jūrmala	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.4 LLTWL
- FK Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga
23.05.21	Liepāja - Ventspils	3:1 ✺
19.05.21	Valmiera - Liepāja	1:0 ✺
14.05.21	Liepāja - Rīgas FS	1:2 ✺
09.05.21	Riga - Liepāja	4:1 ✺
05.05.21	Metta - Liepāja	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLLW

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