Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 3 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium (Yerevan)

Referee: Gidzhenov R. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Disney+


	Noah Yerevan		Mladá Boleslav

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.25	2.7
	2.55	3.2	2.55
	2.6	3.3	2.7
	2.65	3.35	2.76
	2.55	3.37	2.65	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.4
	2.66	3.4	2.74
	2.6	3.3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.71)	3.3 ↑ (3.17)	2.65 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noah Yerevan
35.9%

Draw
28.6%

Mladá Boleslav
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

29.4%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

29.6%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noah Yerevan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Mladá Boleslav has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noah Yerevan than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	15.4%	34.6%

Noah Yerevan - Mladá Boleslav Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Noah will win (votes: 13 - 50%). Mladá Boleslav will win (votes: 9 - 34.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Noah: 30.8% – 69.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Cancarevic O. (C) 4. Thorarinsson G. 37. Silva G. 3. Muradyan S. 14. Mendoza B. 17. Sangare G. 88. Eteki Y. 81. Oulad Omar I. 7. Ferreira H. 9. Matheus Aias 93. Pinson V.	29. Trmal M. (G) 13. Donat D. 17. Suchy M. (C) 3. Kralik M. 31. Kostka D. 10. Ladra T. 66. Vydra P. 6. Langhamer D. 11. Fulnek J. 23. Kusej V. 28. Masek L.
Substitutes
18. Avanesyan A. 11. Cinari E. 10. Dashyan A. 8. Gregorio G. 19. Hambardzumyan H. 27. Manvelyan G. 26. Miljkovic A. 30. Petrosyan G. 92. Ploshchadnyi A. (G)	59. Floder J. (G) 32. Jawo L. 26. Kadlec A. 14. Kral T. 30. Marecek D. 8. Matejovsky M. 99. Mikulec P. (G) 15. Penner N. 18. Pulkrab M. 5. Sakala B. 12. Stransky V. 7. Zitny P.
Coaches
Mota R.	Brannstrom A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Langhamer D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, Matheus Aias ⚽, Pinson V. (A),
69', Mendoza B. ↓, Manvelyan G. ↑,
69', Oulad Omar I. ↓, Gregorio G. ↑,
69', Matheus Aias ↓, Cinari E. ↑,
74', Kralik M. ↓, Kral T. ↑,
75', Donat D. ↓, Sakala B. ↑,
75', Langhamer D. ↓, Marecek D. ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Pinson V. ⚽, Gregorio G. (A),
79', Vydra P. 🟨,
82', Masek L. ↓, Stransky V. ↑,
85', Eteki Y. ↓, Avanesyan A. ↑,
87', Sangare G. 🟨,
89', Stransky V. ↓, Matejovsky M. ↑,
90+3', Pinson V. ↓, Petrosyan G. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium.

Noah is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mladá Boleslav is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Noah could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Noah have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Noah: Pablo (Red Card)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Noah Yerevan
Armenian Premier League
29.09.24	Urartu Yerevan - Noah Yerevan	2:1 ✺
24.09.24	Noah Yerevan - Pyunik	2:0 ✺
19.09.24	Van - Noah Yerevan	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	Ararat - Noah Yerevan	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
29.08.24	Ružomberok - Noah Yerevan	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWTLL
- FK Mladá Boleslav
Czech 1 Liga
29.09.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Mladá Boleslav	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	Mladá Boleslav - Pardubice	2:2 ✺
17.09.24	Mladá Boleslav - Slavia Prague	0:2 ✺
01.09.24	Teplice - Mladá Boleslav	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
29.08.24	Paksi SE - Mladá Boleslav	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TTLWW

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