Match Info

HNL - Round 25

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Gradski vrt (Osijek)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Croatia	HRT 2, HRTi, MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Italy	Como TV


	Vukovar 91		Rijeka

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.5	1.95
	3.75	3.35	1.92
	3.96	3.34	2
	3.95	3.43	1.93	Watch
	3.75	3.1	2
	3.81	3.32	1.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↓ (4.27)	3.34 ↓ (3.65)	1.96 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vukovar 91
24.4%

Draw
27.9%

Rijeka
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

25.6%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

25%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vukovar 91 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Rijeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vukovar 91 than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rijeka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Vukovar 91 - Rijeka Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Vukovar 91 (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Rijeka (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Vukovar 91 (1.77) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Vukovar 91 (1.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Vukovar 91 (2.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rijeka will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Vukovar 91 (votes: 6 - 75%). Rijeka (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pintol D. (G) 8. Bosec A. 34. Tadic M. 14. Zivkovic M. 91. Ticinovic M. 13. Caic V. 35. Gurlica J. 19. Jurilj A. 10. Gonzalez R. (C) 28. Banovec L. 21. Puljic J.	99. Todorovic A. (G) 23. Lasickas J. 45. Majstorovic A. (C) 51. Husic A. 91. Bodetic N. 26. Dantas T. 8. Petrovic D. 7. Morchiladze T. 10. Fruk T. 11. Rukavina G. 77. Juric A.
Substitutes
39. Bugas P. 1. Bulat M. (G) 27. Butic S. 20. Cabrajic K. 7. Calhanoglu K. 42. Djakovic A. (G) 26. Elez J. 23. Jergovic D. 33. Klanac L. 16. Pavicic K. 25. Spoljaric J. 5. Vlasenko N.	18. Adu Adjei D. 55. Barco A. 9. Cop D. 34. Devetak M. 14. Gojak A. 24. Legbo D. 20. Ndockyt M. 22. Orec A. 66. Pavic B. 6. Radeljic S. 25. Thaqi D. 13. Zlomislic M. (G)
Coaches
Cabraja S.	Munoz R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Banovec L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Fruk T. (Penalty Awarded),
59', Bosec A. ↓, Pavicic K. ↑,
74', Rukavina G. ↓, Gojak A. ↑,
74', Morchiladze T. ↓, Legbo D. ↑,
75', Ticinovic M. ↓, Spoljaric J. ↑,
76', Jurilj A. ↓, Calhanoglu K. ↑,
76', Gurlica J. ↓, Butic S. ↑,
81', Dantas T. ↓, Barco A. ↑,
81', Juric A. ↓, Cop D. ↑,
86', Fruk T. ↓, Radeljic S. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Vukovar 91 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rijeka is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Vukovar 91 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rijeka could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Vukovar 91: Biljan J. (Inactive) Shabani E. (Inactive)

There will not play in Rijeka: Barisic T. (Injury) Skoric M. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vukovar 91 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Vukovar 91 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Rijeka	7	4	2	1	13:7	6	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Vukovar 91
Croatian HNL
28.02.26	Osijek - Vukovar 91	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Vukovar 91 - Slaven Belupo	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Gorica - Vukovar 91	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Vukovar 91 - Istra 1961	3:2 ✺
02.02.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Vukovar 91	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTTWL
- HNK Rijeka
Croatian Cup
04.03.26	Rijeka - Hajduk Split	3:2 ✺
Croatian HNL
01.03.26	Rijeka - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.02.26	Rijeka - Omonia	3:1 ✺
Croatian HNL
22.02.26	Hajduk Split - Rijeka	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.02.26	Omonia - Rijeka	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
06.12.25	Rijeka - Vukovar 91	3:1
22.09.25	Vukovar 91 - Rijeka	3:2

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