Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday


	Noia		UD Ourense

	1	X	2
	3.8	2.87	1.95
	3.95	2.95	1.97
	3.98	3.04	1.93
	3.95	2.95	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↑ (3.89)	2.95 ↓ (2.96)	1.96 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noia
23.1%

Draw
30.6%

UD Ourense
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

30.5%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

29.6%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Noia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noia than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', 1 - 1, Guisande A. ⚽, Barbosa J. (A),
90+2', 1 - 2, Suarez J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Noia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

UD Ourense is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match UD Ourense is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Noia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Noia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
12.01.25	Noia - Betanzos	0:0 ✺
22.12.24	Polvorín - Noia	1:0 ✺
14.12.24	Noia - RC Villalbes	2:0 ✺
06.12.24	Noia - Barbadás	1:1 ✺
01.12.24	Viveiro - Noia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLWTW
- UD Ourense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
12.01.25	Viveiro - UD Ourense	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	UD Ourense - Sarriana	0:0 ✺
14.12.24	Alondras - UD Ourense	0:4 ✺
08.12.24	UD Ourense - Silva SD	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Estradense - UD Ourense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
08.09.24	UD Ourense - Noia	2:0

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