Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Barletta		Nardo

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.1	3.4
	2.14	3.04	3.37	Watch
	2.15	2.88	3.3
	2.07	3.08	3.42
	2.22	3	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.16)	3.02 ↓ (3.48)	3.33 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barletta
42.7%

Draw
30%

Nardo
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

26.3%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

26.6%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barletta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Nardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barletta than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nardo than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Barletta - Nardo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: ) and 7).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Barletta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barletta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Barletta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barletta
Italian Serie D - Group H
14.12.25	Acerrana - Barletta	0:4 ✺
07.12.25	Barletta - Heraclea	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Città di Fasano - Barletta	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Barletta - Nola	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Real Normanna - Barletta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWTLW
- ACD Nardo
Italian Serie D - Group H
14.12.25	Nardo - Ferrandina	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Manfredonia - Nardo	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Nardo - Sarnese	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Pompei - Nardo	2:3 ✺
16.11.25	Nardo - Virtus Francavilla	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
28.01.24	Barletta - Nardo	0:1
01.10.23	Nardo - Barletta	3:0
21.05.23	Nardo - Barletta	2:0
30.04.23	Barletta - Nardo	3:2
18.12.22	Nardo - Barletta	1:0

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