Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 29

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Pitchaya Stadium (Nong Bua Lam Phu)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	SPOTV Now
Thailand	True Ball Thai 2


	Nongbua Pitchaya		Thai Port

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.7	2.65
	2.22	3.75	2.6	Watch
	2.29	3.96	2.78
	2.24	3.87	2.61	Watch
	2.2	3.5	2.7
	2.22	3.68	2.66	Watch
	2.28	3.7	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (3.03)	3.74 ↓ (3.88)	2.65 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nongbua Pitchaya
41.1%

Draw
24.4%

Thai Port
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

23.4%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

22.2%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nongbua Pitchaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nongbua Pitchaya's performance.

Thai Port has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thai Port might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nongbua Pitchaya than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nongbua Pitchaya that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thai Port than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thai Port could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nongbua Pitchaya - Thai Port Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Port (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Port (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Goonchorn P. (G) 2. Lyngbo S. 21. Rontini C. 46. Jorge Felipe (C) 88. Harntes A. 7. Lukthong N. 25. Waenlor A. 11. Conrado 14. Phochai T. 23. Haber M. 69. Seekaewnit P.	1. Yos S. (G) 47. Boonlha S. 62. Buran C. 4. Bureerat S. 5. Putros F. 8. Kesarat T. (C) 44. Kanitsribampen W. 10. Phala B. 14. Poeiphimai T. 33. Shimura N. 26. Doumbouya L.
Substitutes
10. Chawin S. 15. Jamsuwan K. (G) 19. Judivan 18. Jujeen A. 27. Marom W. 3. Palachom T. 8. Park Jong-Woo 26. Sathaporn W. 17. Songma J. 16. Songma J. 30. Sriwichai W. 20. Tanee W.	23. Deeromram K. 35. Honny I. 37. Karin C. 11. Mlapa P. 38. Phosri N. 7. Prempak P. 20. Sapso P. 36. Srisupha W. (G) 88. Supunpasuch C. 9. Tardeli 27. Thumporn T. 16. Wongchai C.
Coaches
Yothee S.	Kaewpaluk W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Phochai T. ⚽, Lyngbo S. (A),
33', Boonlha S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Boonlha S. ↓, Karin C. ↑,
54', Doumbouya L. ↓, Phosri N. ↑,
56', Jorge Felipe 🟨,
57', 1 - 1, Poeiphimai T. ⚽, Buran C. (A),
59', 1 - 2, Phala B. ⚽,
63', Poeiphimai T. 🟨,
64', Lukthong N. ↓, Sriwichai W. ↑,
64', Conrado ↓, Judivan ↑,
66', Buran C. 🟨,
72', Phala B. ↓, Prempak P. ↑,
72', Buran C. ↓, Deeromram K. ↑,
72', Harntes A. ↓, Sathaporn W. ↑,
72', Waenlor A. ↓, Park Jong-Woo ↑,
77', Seekaewnit P. ↓, Jujeen A. ↑,
80', Poeiphimai T. ↓, Sapso P. ↑,
82', Kanitsribampen W. 🟨,
85', Jujeen A. 🟨,
90+1', Sapso P. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 6).

Recent matches Nongbua Pitchaya is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Port is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nongbua Pitchaya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nongbua Pitchaya won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2:8 (average 0.4:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Nongbua Pitchaya won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1 (average 0:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nongbua Pitchaya FC
Thai League Cup
16.04.25	Nongbua Pitchaya - Uthai Thani	1:0 ✺
Thai League 1
04.04.25	Chiangrai United - Nongbua Pitchaya	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Nongbua Pitchaya - Sukhothai	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Khonkaen United - Nongbua Pitchaya	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Ratchaburi - Nongbua Pitchaya	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLTWL
- Thai Port FC
Thai League Cup
16.04.25	Lamphun Warriors - Thai Port	2:0 ✺
Thai League 1
13.04.25	Nakhon Pathom United - Thai Port	2:2 ✺
10.04.25	Thai Port - Prachuap	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Thai Port - Uthai Thani	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Lamphun Warriors - Thai Port	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
01.12.24	Thai Port - Nongbua Pitchaya	2:1
19.02.23	Thai Port - Nongbua Pitchaya	2:1
18.09.22	Nongbua Pitchaya - Thai Port	0:0
01.05.22	Thai Port - Nongbua Pitchaya	3:0
27.11.21	Nongbua Pitchaya - Thai Port	0:1

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