The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Noordwijk 56.1%
Draw 20.8%
Jong Sparta Rotterdam 23.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.8%
24.7%
33.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.3%
24.4%
33.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Noordwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Noordwijk's performance.
Jong Sparta Rotterdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jong Sparta Rotterdam might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noordwijk than the current prediction. (-14.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Noordwijk that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jong Sparta Rotterdam could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
44. Roggeveen J. (G) 5. Strooker J. 20. Neto 37. Groot K. 3. Reinders D. 8. Franken B. 10. Reemnet R. 26. Bosma S. 31. Wendt E. (C) 16. El Kharbachi M. 11. Tjin-Asjoe V.
1. Tevreden D. (G) 2. Vianello T. 3. van Wageningen D. 6. el Dahri H. 11. Inocencio J. 4. Bynoe J. 8. Furtado Brito D. 10. Oukhattou M. 5. Mulumba G. 9. Seedorf J. 7. Bais A.
Substitutes
46. Antonioli R. (G) 14. Bakour M. 15. da Fonseca G. 9. Hak J. 18. Marbus R. 4. Vink M. 22. Zethof T.
16. De Bruijn R. 18. Hiwat R. 19. Kamperveen A. 20. Mrkalj B. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Franken B. ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, Reemnet R. ⚽, Franken B. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Bynoe J. ↓, Laguna Burgos S. ↑,
47', 2 - 1, Seedorf J. ⚽, Oukhattou M. (A),
49', 3 - 1, Wendt E. ⚽,
51', Tevreden D. 🟨,
51', Inocencio J. 🟨,
51', Seedorf J. 🟨,
54', 4 - 1, Wendt E. ⚽,
62', Bosma S. ↓, da Fonseca G. ↑,
62', Tjin-Asjoe V. ↓, Hak J. ↑,
68', Reemnet R. ↓, Marbus R. ↑,
72', 4 - 2, Seedorf J. (Pen),
72', Oukhattou M. ↓, Kamperveen A. ↑,
72', Furtado Brito D. ↓, de Bruijn R. ↑,
81', Franken B. ↓, Zethof T. ↑,
81', Strooker J. ↓, Bakour M. ↑,
82', Inocencio J. ↓, Hiwat R. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Tweede Divisie (Relegation) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Noordwijk won 2.
In recent matches, Noordwijk has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Jong Sparta is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Jong Sparta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Noordwijk won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.5:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Noordwijk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
Watch
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Roggeveen J. (G) 
Strooker J. 
Neto 
Oukhattou M. 
De Bruijn R. 
Mrkalj B. (G) 
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