Match Info

USL League One

Date: 12 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Breese Stevens Field (Madison, WI)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Forward Madison		Greenville Triumph

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	3.70	4.20
	1.65	3.65	4.25
	1.67	3.93	4.49
	1.69	4.06	4.3	Watch
	1.63	3.8	4.1
	1.63	3.78	4.48	Watch
	1.65	3.65	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.62)	3.8 ↑ (3.68)	4.29 ↓ (4.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Forward Madison
55%

Draw
23.9%

Greenville Triumph
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

24.7%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

23.4%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Greenville Triumph has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Forward Madison - Greenville Triumph Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Forward Madison will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Harms J. (G) 20. Carmichael K. (C) 5. Shannon J. 4. McCamy C. 23. Munjoma E. 16. Castro J. 12. Torres R. 24. Forbes J. 9. Carmichael R. 21. Karamoko H. 7. Bolma J.	13. Knight A. (G) 20. Seagrist P. 15. Patti A. 5. Fricke B. (C) 42. Bubb Z. 22. Fritz K. 27. Nour M. 8. Herrera C. 18. Evans C. 7. Boyce D. 10. Akio W.
Substitutes
57. Augee B. 3. Edwards A. 99. Flores K. (G) 14. Gyamfi S. 6. Kanyane G. 19. Manske T. (G) 11. Ngoubou C.	11. Bouregy J. 12. Lee E. 3. Polak T. 9. Robles R. 30. Torman S. (G) 23. White E. 14. Wu D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Nour M. ⚽,
28', Nour M. 🟨,
40', Fricke B. 🟨,
42', Fricke B. ↓, Lee E. ↑,
44', 1 - 1, Karamoko H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Castro J. 🟨,
64', Forbes J. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
64', Bolma J. ↓, Ngoubou C. ↑,
64', Carmichael R. ↓, Gyamfi S. ↑,
67', Fritz K. ↓, Bouregy J. ↑,
74', Evans C. 🟨,
82', Seagrist P. ↓, Polak T. ↑,
82', Boyce D. ↓, Robles R. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 2.

Forward Madison is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Greenville is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Forward Madison has had a series of home games.

In this match, Forward Madison is considered a favorite.

We predict that Forward Madison will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Forward Madison won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:9. (average 1.9:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Forward Madison ✔	29	15	7	7	50:27	23	52
16	Greenville	28	6	5	17	30:52	-22	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forward Madison
USL League One
08.08.26	Boise - Forward Madison	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Forward Madison - Westchester SC	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Forward Madison - Chattanooga Red Wolves	5:2 ✺
25.07.26	Forward Madison - Naples	3:1 ✺
15.07.26	Forward Madison - Richmond Kickers	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWW
- Greenville Triumph
USL League One
08.08.26	Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Greenville Triumph - Portland Hearts of Pine	3:3 ✺
29.07.26	Greenville Triumph - Boise	3:2 ✺
25.07.26	Corpus Christi - Greenville Triumph	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Fort Wayne - Greenville Triumph	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
03.06.26	Greenville Triumph - Forward Madison	1:0
20.09.25	Greenville Triumph - Forward Madison	3:0
12.07.25	Forward Madison - Greenville Triumph	3:1
04.05.24	Forward Madison - Greenville Triumph	3:2
23.03.24	Greenville Triumph - Forward Madison	0:0
29.07.23	Forward Madison - Greenville Triumph	1:1
01.07.23	Greenville Triumph - Forward Madison	1:0

Upcoming Matches