The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Greenville Triumph 36.9%
Draw 25.1%
Charlotte Independence 38%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.1%
25.8%
37.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.3%
25.9%
36.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Greenville Triumph has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Charlotte Independence has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Greenville Triumph - Charlotte Independence Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Torman S. (G) 4. Sims T. 5. Fricke B. (C) 15. Patti A. 27. Nour M. 8. Herrera C. 6. Agyaakwah I. 20. Villanueva A. 9. Robles R. 17. Larsen B. 19. Liadi A.
28. Levy M. (G) 17. Dimick C. (C) 4. Coulibaly S. 5. Romero J. 3. Skinner J. 6. Fuchs J. 14. Manin R. 7. Saydee P. 8. Jaime C. 10. Bakero J. 26. Marou S.
Substitutes
77. Benton D. 7. Boyce D. 25. Castro L. 18. Evans C. 13. Knight A. (G) 12. Lee E. 29. Polo B. 23. White E.
24. Amaya J. 13. Guffroy M. 16. Lyons M. 2. Ngah F. 11. Ortiz V. 22. Riascos K. 29. Stefano Pinho 1. Tasouris G. (G)
Coaches
Tyson J.
Jeffries M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Saydee P. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Marou S. ⚽, Skinner J. (A),
35', Fricke B. 🟨,
43', Robles R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
63', Coulibaly S. 🟨,
65', Fuchs J. ↓, Amaya J. ↑,
65', Saydee P. ↓, Stefano Pinho ↑,
69', Sims T. ↓, Benton D. ↑,
69', Robles R. ↓, Castro L. ↑,
70', Agyaakwah I. ↓, Lee E. ↑,
75', 0 - 2, Marou S. ⚽,
81', Bakero J. 🟨,
84', 0 - 3, Marou S. ⚽, Bakero J. (A),
85', Marou S. ↓, Ngah F. ↑,
86', Bakero J. ↓, Guffroy M. ↑,
90', Jaime C. ↓, Riascos K. ↑,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting the league leader (ranked 15th and 1st in the Promotion - USL League One Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
Charlotte Ind is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs Quarter~finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Greenville won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Greenville (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Charlotte Ind shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Charlotte Ind could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Greenville has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:20 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Greenville against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 9:3 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).