Match Info

USL League One

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Paladin Stadium (Greenville, SC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Greenville Triumph		One Knoxville

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.50	3.30	2.40
	2.52	3.2	2.42
	2.6	3.35	2.53
	2.58	3.47	2.54	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.45
	2.61	3.54	2.48
	2.5	3.25	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.75)	3.36 ↑ (3.2)	2.46 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greenville Triumph
35.8%

Draw
27.1%

One Knoxville
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

28%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

27.6%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greenville Triumph has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

One Knoxville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Knight A. (G) 22. Fritz K. 42. Bubb Z. 12. Lee E. (C) 15. Patti A. 20. Seagrist P. 10. Akio W. 8. Herrera C. 18. Evans C. 27. Nour M. 19. Liadi A.	25. Garibay J. (G) 22. Perkins W. 4. Skelton J. 3. McRobb F. (C) 99. Uderitz B. 6. Caputo A. 89. Baker T. 19. Conway E. 7. Diene B. 10. Gill R. 9. Krioutchenkov D.
Substitutes
11. Bouregy J. 7. Boyce D. 3. Polak T. 29. Polo B. 9. Robles R. 30. Torman S. (G) 23. White E. 14. Wu D.	13. Bull 32. Burke J. (G) 17. Goling M. 8. Murphy Jr. J. 77. Rosamilia N. 23. Williams D. 21. Zarokostas S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Akio W. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gill R. ↓, Goling M. ↑,
46', 1 - 0, Nour M. ⚽, Akio W. (A),
54', Lee E. 🟨,
63', Uderitz B. ↓, Williams D. ↑,
63', Conway E. ↓, Rosamilia N. ↑,
66', Fritz K. ↓, Boyce D. ↑,
70', Baker T. 🟨,
70', Perkins W. ↓, Bull ↑,
76', Williams D. 🟨,
78', Caputo A. ↓, Murphy Jr. J. ↑,
86', Akio W. ↓, Robles R. ↑,
90+2', Evans C. ↓, Wu D. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Rosamilia N. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Greenville won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Greenville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Greenville won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Greenville won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	One Knoxville ✔	30	14	9	7	49:34	15	51
16	Greenville	28	6	5	17	30:52	-22	23

Last Results with these Odds

One Knoxville - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.35%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greenville Triumph
USL League One
12.08.26	Forward Madison - Greenville Triumph	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Greenville Triumph - Portland Hearts of Pine	3:3 ✺
29.07.26	Greenville Triumph - Boise	3:2 ✺
25.07.26	Corpus Christi - Greenville Triumph	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLTWL
- One Knoxville SC
USL League One
08.08.26	One Knoxville - Sarasota Paradise	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Charlotte Independence - One Knoxville	3:1 ✺
25.07.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - One Knoxville	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	One Knoxville - AV Alta	2:3 ✺
15.07.26	One Knoxville - Fort Wayne	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
29.05.26	One Knoxville - Greenville Triumph	2:0
25.10.25	One Knoxville - Greenville Triumph	1:0
09.04.25	Greenville Triumph - One Knoxville	0:1
US Open Cup
02.04.25	Greenville Triumph - One Knoxville	1:3
USL League One
02.11.24	Greenville Triumph - One Knoxville	2:1
27.07.24	Greenville Triumph - One Knoxville	0:0
22.06.24	One Knoxville - Greenville Triumph	0:2

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