Match Info

USA: USL LEAGUE ONE

Date: 17 May 2023, Wednesday


	North Carolina		Richmond Kickers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.25	3.2
	2	3.2	3.3
	2.01	3.49	3.32
	1.95	3.48	3.5	Watch
	2.04	3.35	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.32)	3.35 ↑ (3.25)	3.31 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Carolina
45.5%

Draw
27.1%

Richmond Kickers
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

28.1%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

27%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Carolina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in North Carolina's performance.

Richmond Kickers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Richmond Kickers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richmond Kickers than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

North Carolina - Richmond Kickers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches North Carolina won 2.

North Carolina is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Richmond Kickers is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches North Carolina won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22-15.

Including matches at home between the teams North Carolina won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Carolina FC
USL League One
13.05.23	North Carolina - Forward Madison	0:2 ✺
05.05.23	Central Valley Fuego - North Carolina	0:2 ✺
29.04.23	Greenville Triumph - North Carolina	1:2 ✺
21.04.23	North Carolina - Chattanooga Red Wolves	3:0 ✺
15.04.23	Union Omaha - North Carolina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 LWWWW
- Richmond Kickers
USL League One
13.05.23	Greenville Triumph - Richmond Kickers	2:2 ✺
05.05.23	Richmond Kickers - Union Omaha	0:0 ✺
29.04.23	South Georgia Tormenta - Richmond Kickers	1:3 ✺
US Open Cup
26.04.23	DC United - Richmond Kickers	1:0 ✺
USL League One
15.04.23	Richmond Kickers - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
27.07.22	North Carolina - Richmond Kickers	2:3
02.07.22	Richmond Kickers - North Carolina	4:1
28.05.22	North Carolina - Richmond Kickers	2:1
28.08.21	Richmond Kickers - North Carolina	0:0
21.07.21	North Carolina - Richmond Kickers	4:0
25.06.21	North Carolina - Richmond Kickers	2:1
22.05.21	Richmond Kickers - North Carolina	0:0

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