The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
South Georgia Tormenta 50.3%
Draw 24.4%
Richmond Kickers 25.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.8%
22.8%
20.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.1%
21.5%
19.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
South Georgia Tormenta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that South Georgia Tormenta's form might have worsened.
Richmond Kickers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Georgia Tormenta than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for South Georgia Tormenta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Richmond Kickers than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Richmond Kickers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
South Georgia Tormenta - Richmond Kickers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pack A. (G) 6. Stretch C. 23. Rasheed M. 15. Malou J. 3. Gabriel Alves 8. Gabriel Cabral (C) 22. Doyle C. 58. Jimenez O. 71. Bwana H. 7. Reid-Stephen N. 19. Bazini Y.
35. Sneddon J. (G) 4. Fitch S. (C) 19. Espinal D. 16. Cela K. 10. Seufert N. 5. Schenfeld M. 20. Billhardt A. 25. Lage M. 32. Terzaghi E. 38. Garnett G. 27. O'Dwyer C.
Substitutes
29. Gottlieb B. 10. Gray T. 13. Jones S. (G) 26. Kasanzu J. 11. Nyandjo J. 17. Pray K. 16. Tunbridge M. 9. Vivas S. 28. Walker A.
3. Anderson H. 6. Baer R. 34. Howell B. 1. Jara P. (G) 7. Johnson L. 9. Kirkland J. 17. Vaughan J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
3', Rasheed M. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Bazini Y. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Reid-Stephen N. ⚽, Doyle C. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Lage M. ↓, Vaughan J. ↑,
46', Garnett G. ↓, Howell B. ↑,
47', Cela K. 🟨,
49', Doyle C. 🟨,
53', 2 - 1, Seufert N. ⚽,
64', Bazini Y. ↓, Vivas S. ↑,
64', Jimenez O. ↓, Gray T. ↑,
66', Bwana H. ↓, Tunbridge M. ↑,
68', Billhardt A. ↓, Kirkland J. ↑,
69', 3 - 1, Gray T. ⚽,
71', Malou J. 🟨,
72', 3 - 2, Kirkland J. ⚽, Howell B. (A),
76', 4 - 2, Reid-Stephen N. ⚽,
77', Malou J. ↓, Kasanzu J. ↑,
80', Cela K. ↓, Baer R. ↑,
85', Reid-Stephen N. ↓, Walker A. ↑,
85', Seufert N. ↓, Anderson H. ↑,
90', Vivas S. 🟨,
90+6', O'Dwyer C. 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: ) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tormenta won 1.
Tormenta is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Richmond Kickers has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Tormenta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Tormenta is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Tormenta will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Tormenta won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:31. (average 1.4:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Tormenta won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1.2:2.1).