Match Info

USA: USL LEAGUE ONE

Date: 5 May 2023, Friday


	Central Valley Fuego		North Carolina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	3.2	1.98
	2.8	3.4	2.2
	3.96	3.28	1.89
	3.78	3.48	1.87	Watch
	3.3	3.25	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (2.43)	3.32 ↓ (3.32)	2 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Valley Fuego
26.7%

Draw
27.5%

North Carolina
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

27.5%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

27.1%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Valley Fuego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Central Valley Fuego's form might have worsened.

North Carolina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting North Carolina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Valley Fuego than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Central Valley Fuego, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for North Carolina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Central Valley Fuego - North Carolina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Fuego has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

North Carolina is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Fuego won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Fuego won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Valley Fuego
USL League One
30.04.23	Central Valley Fuego - One Knoxville	0:1 ✺
22.04.23	Charlotte Independence - Central Valley Fuego	1:0 ✺
19.04.23	Greenville Triumph - Central Valley Fuego	3:0 ✺
12.04.23	One Knoxville - Central Valley Fuego	1:1 ✺
08.04.23	Central Valley Fuego - Union Omaha	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- North Carolina FC
USL League One
29.04.23	Greenville Triumph - North Carolina	1:2 ✺
21.04.23	North Carolina - Chattanooga Red Wolves	3:0 ✺
15.04.23	Union Omaha - North Carolina	1:2 ✺
08.04.23	North Carolina - Charlotte Independence	1:1 ✺
US Open Cup
05.04.23	Loudoun United - North Carolina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
28.09.22	North Carolina - Central Valley Fuego	2:1
13.08.22	North Carolina - Central Valley Fuego	0:1
25.06.22	Central Valley Fuego - North Carolina	3:2

Central Valley Fuego - North Carolina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide