Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL VICTORIA - ROUND 23

Date: 22 July 2023, Saturday


	North Geelong Warriors		Heidelberg United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.75	4.33	1.46
	4.9	3.9	1.5
	5.96	4.79	1.47
	3.9	3.75	1.67
	5.75	4.6	1.44	Watch
	5.4	4.5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.28 ↑ (3.15)	4.31 ↑ (3.7)	1.5 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Geelong Warriors
17.4%

Draw
21.3%

Heidelberg United
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

24.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

23.8%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Geelong Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North Geelong Warriors's form might have worsened.

Heidelberg United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Heidelberg United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Geelong Warriors than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Geelong Warriors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidelberg United than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Heidelberg United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

North Geelong Warriors - Heidelberg United Predictions

Users Predictions: Heidelberg United will win (25 of 25 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Recent matches North Geelong is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Heidelberg United is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Heidelberg United have a series of guest games.

In this match Heidelberg United is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches North Geelong won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-16.

Including matches at home between the teams North Geelong won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Geelong Warriors
Australian NPL Victoria
15.07.23	Dandenong Thunder - North Geelong Warriors	6:0 ✺
09.07.23	North Geelong Warriors - Melbourne Knights	0:3 ✺
30.06.23	Green Gully - North Geelong Warriors	3:1 ✺
24.06.23	North Geelong Warriors - Moreland City	1:0 ✺
17.06.23	Hume City - North Geelong Warriors	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LLLWW
- Heidelberg United
Australian NPL Victoria
15.07.23	Heidelberg United - Avondale	1:1 ✺
08.07.23	Altona Magic - Heidelberg United	3:2 ✺
01.07.23	Port Melbourne Sharks - Heidelberg United	1:0 ✺
24.06.23	Bentleigh Greens - Heidelberg United	1:1 ✺
09.06.23	Oakleigh Cannons - Heidelberg United	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
21.04.23	Heidelberg United - North Geelong Warriors	1:1
01.07.17	North Geelong Warriors - Heidelberg United	0:4
01.04.17	Heidelberg United - North Geelong Warriors	8:0
09.08.15	Heidelberg United - North Geelong Warriors	3:3
02.05.15	North Geelong Warriors - Heidelberg United	0:0

North Geelong Warriors - Heidelberg United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide