Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 16

Date: 21 February 2023, Tuesday


	North Leigh		Plymouth Parkway

	1	X	2
	4	3.8	1.65
	3.75	3.8	1.64
	3.85	3.75	1.68
	4.1	4.25	1.68
	4.33	3.6	1.67
	4.45	3.98	1.64
	4	4	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↑ (3.02)	3.88 ↑ (3.43)	1.66 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

North Leigh
22.2%

Draw
23.3%

Plymouth Parkway
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

26.3%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

25.9%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Leigh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North Leigh's form might have worsened.

Plymouth Parkway has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Plymouth Parkway's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Leigh than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Leigh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Parkway than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Plymouth Parkway, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	30%	50%

North Leigh - Plymouth Parkway Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. North Leigh will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Plymouth Parkway will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth Parkway: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

North Leigh has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Plymouth Parkway is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Plymouth Parkway will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches North Leigh won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams North Leigh won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Leigh
English Southern League South Division
18.02.23	North Leigh - Gosport Borough	0:1 ✺
11.02.23	North Leigh - Harrow Borough	2:0 ✺
07.02.23	North Leigh - Dorchester Town	2:0 ✺
04.02.23	Hayes & Yeading United - North Leigh	3:1 ✺
28.01.23	North Leigh - Hartley Wintney	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LWWLW
- Plymouth Parkway
English Southern League South Division
18.02.23	Winchester City - Plymouth Parkway	2:1 ✺
14.02.23	Plymouth Parkway - Dorchester Town	3:0 ✺
11.02.23	Plymouth Parkway - Hartley Wintney	0:0 ✺
07.02.23	Merthyr Town - Plymouth Parkway	0:1 ✺
04.02.23	Salisbury - Plymouth Parkway	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
17.09.22	North Leigh - Plymouth Parkway	2:3

Upcoming Matches