Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 23

Date: 7 February 2023, Tuesday


	North Leigh		Dorchester Town

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.5	2
	2.8	3.25	2.12
	4.6	4	1.56
	3.06	3.96	2.01
	3.75	4	1.7
	3.1	3.65	2.04
	3.2	3.6	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↓ (5.58)	3.71 ↓ (4.5)	1.91 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Leigh
27.4%

Draw
24.7%

Dorchester Town
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

20.2%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

19.4%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Leigh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in North Leigh's performance.

Dorchester Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dorchester Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Leigh than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with North Leigh that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (+18.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dorchester Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

North Leigh - Dorchester Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Dorchester will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 8).

North Leigh has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Dorchester is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

North Leigh could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dorchester is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches North Leigh won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Leigh
English Southern League South Division
04.02.23	Hayes & Yeading United - North Leigh	3:1 ✺
28.01.23	North Leigh - Hartley Wintney	3:0 ✺
21.01.23	Hanwell Town - North Leigh	5:1 ✺
02.01.23	North Leigh - Chesham United	2:3 ✺
26.12.22	Swindon Supermarine - North Leigh	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL
- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
04.02.23	Tiverton Town - Dorchester Town	3:0 ✺
28.01.23	Dorchester Town - Swindon Supermarine	3:4 ✺
14.01.23	Dorchester Town - Winchester City	2:1 ✺
07.01.23	Hartley Wintney - Dorchester Town	2:4 ✺
02.01.23	Dorchester Town - Yate Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
06.08.22	Dorchester Town - North Leigh	2:1

North Leigh - Dorchester Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide