Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 38

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday


	Winchester City		Plymouth Parkway

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	2.6
	2.19	3.85	2.6
	2.3	3.87	2.69
	2.2	3.62	2.67
	2.19	3.85	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.37)	3.76 ↑ (3.66)	2.63 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Winchester City
41.1%

Draw
24.3%

Plymouth Parkway
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

24.9%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

24.6%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Winchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Plymouth Parkway has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winchester City than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Parkway than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Winchester City - Plymouth Parkway Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 0 - 1, Garside R. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 and 14).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Winchester won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.4:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Winchester won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Winchester City
English Southern League South Division
29.03.25	Winchester City - Merthyr Town	1:3 ✺
22.03.25	Hungerford Town - Winchester City	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Winchester City - Tiverton Town	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Poole Town - Winchester City	3:2 ✺
01.03.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Winchester City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 LWLLW
- Plymouth Parkway
English Southern League South Division
29.03.25	Plymouth Parkway - Poole Town	3:1 ✺
22.03.25	Wimborne Town - Plymouth Parkway	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Plymouth Parkway - Hungerford Town	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Taunton Town - Plymouth Parkway	2:3 ✺
01.03.25	Bracknell Town - Plymouth Parkway	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
24.08.24	Plymouth Parkway - Winchester City	0:3
21.03.24	Plymouth Parkway - Winchester City	1:1
03.10.23	Winchester City - Plymouth Parkway	1:1
18.04.23	Plymouth Parkway - Winchester City	1:0
18.02.23	Winchester City - Plymouth Parkway	2:1

Upcoming Matches