The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Forward Madison 40.5%
Draw 26.6%
Union Omaha 32.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.7%
25.9%
29.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.1%
26.7%
28.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Union Omaha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Forward Madison, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Forward Madison - Union Omaha Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Harms J. (C) 20. Carmichael K. 5. Shannon J. 33. Toure K. 23. Munjoma E. 8. Segbers M. 12. Torres R. 6. Kanyane G. 9. Carmichael R. 21. Karamoko H. 7. Bolma J.
99. Jensen C. (G) 23. Boudadi Y. 3. Malone B. 14. Kallman B. 6. Guediri S. 16. Wootton L. 25. Klein T. 20. Ors Navarro S. 77. Gavilanes A. 17. Gutierrez D. 21. Gomez A.
Substitutes
57. Augee B. 16. Castro J. 99. Flores K. (G) 14. Gyamfi S. 13. Humphrey T. 19. Manske T. (G) 4. McCamy C. 11. Ngoubou C.
7. Billhardt A. 9. Botello Faz P. 15. Knapp B. 19. Lawrence C. 24. Nuhu R. (G) 4. Owusu S. 22. Tekiela K.
Coaches
Glaeser M.
Candela V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Guediri S. 🟨,
37', Torres R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Klein T. 🟨,
54', Gutierrez D. 🟨,
62', Kallman B. ↓, Owusu S. ↑,
62', Gutierrez D. ↓, Billhardt A. ↑,
62', Ors Navarro S. ↓, Tekiela K. ↑,
64', Carmichael R. ↓, Ngoubou C. ↑,
64', Shannon J. ↓, McCamy C. ↑,
64', Segbers M. ↓, Augee B. ↑,
73', Boudadi Y. ↓, Lawrence C. ↑,
73', Karamoko H. ↓, Gyamfi S. ↑,
73', Bolma J. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
80', Gavilanes A. ↓, Knapp B. ↑,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - USL League One Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 2nd in the Promotion - USL League One Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
Forward Madison is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs Quarter~finals).
Union Omaha is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs Quarter~finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 1.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Forward Madison has recorded 6 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:24 (averaging 1.2:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Forward Madison against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 14:12 goals (averaging 1.3:1.1 per game).
Standings
Main
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Union Omaha
32
19
5
8
54:34
20
62
4
Forward Madison
32
16
8
8
54:30
24
56
Last Results with these Odds
Forward Madison - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 44.73%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
Mexico
Peru
Uruguay
Usa
Venezuela
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Harms J. (C) 
Toure K. 
Kanyane G. 
Carmichael R. 
Bolma J. 
Boudadi Y. 
Wootton L. 
Klein T. 
Ors Navarro S. 
Ngoubou C. 
Billhardt A. 
Botello Faz P. 
Candela V. 
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