Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Breese Stevens Field (Madison, WI)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Forward Madison		Union Omaha

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.90	3.50	2.00
	2.97	3.88	2.03
	2.96	3.82	2.05	Watch
	2.9	3.75	2.01
	3.12	3.74	2.08	Watch
	3	3.55	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3.66)	3.71 ↓ (3.72)	2.04 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Forward Madison
30.6%

Draw
24.6%

Union Omaha
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

24.2%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

23.2%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forward Madison has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Forward Madison's performance.

Union Omaha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Union Omaha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Forward Madison - Union Omaha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Harms J. (G) 8. Segbers M. (C) 20. Carmichael K. 33. Toure K. 5. Shannon J. 6. Kanyane G. 9. Carmichael R. 12. Torres R. 24. Forbes J. 7. Bolma J. 14. Gyamfi S.	99. Jensen C. (G) 23. Boudadi Y. 4. Owusu S. 3. Malone B. 27. Jiba R. 8. Gabriel Cabral 28. Caceres E. 21. Gomez A. 22. Tekiela K. 77. Gavilanes A. 9. Botello Faz P. (C)
Substitutes
16. Castro J. 3. Edwards A. 99. Flores K. (G) 28. Hildal J. 21. Karamoko H. 19. Manske T. (G) 4. McCamy C. 23. Munjoma E. 18. Romanshyn K.	17. Gutierrez D. 14. Kallman B. 19. Lawrence C. 24. Nuhu R. (G) 20. Ors Navarro S. 12. Vargas M. 16. Wootton L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Gomez A. ⚽, Owusu S. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Bolma J. ⚽,
35', 2 - 1, Carmichael R. ⚽,
36', Caceres E. 🟨,
41', Segbers M. 🟨,
45+2', Forbes J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Malone B. ↓, Kallman B. ↑,
47', Boudadi Y. 🟨,
61', Segbers M. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
61', Kanyane G. ↓, Munjoma E. ↑,
64', 3 - 1, Carmichael R. ⚽, Torres R. (A),
64', Gomez A. ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
64', Botello Faz P. ↓, Ors Navarro S. ↑,
66', Caceres E. ↓, Wootton L. ↑,
71', Owusu S. 🟨,
73', Forbes J. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
73', Shannon J. ↓, McCamy C. ↑,
73', Carmichael R. ↓, Karamoko H. ↑,
77', Gabriel Cabral ↓, Vargas M. ↑,
79', 3 - 2, Ors Navarro S. ⚽,
83', 3 - 3, Gutierrez D. (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', Wootton L. 🟨,
90+6', 4 - 3, Karamoko H. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 1.

Forward Madison is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Union Omaha has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Union Omaha will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Forward Madison won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Union Omaha - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 51.11%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forward Madison
USL League One
01.07.26	Spokane Velocity - Forward Madison	0:1 ✺
20.06.26	Forward Madison - New York Cosmos	3:1 ✺
17.06.26	Forward Madison - Fort Wayne	1:1 ✺
13.06.26	Forward Madison - Boise	5:1 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Indy Eleven - Forward Madison	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWTWL
- Union Omaha
USL League One
01.07.26	Union Omaha - AV Alta	3:1 ✺
20.06.26	Boise - Union Omaha	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Sarasota Paradise - Union Omaha	2:0 ✺
10.06.26	Charlotte Independence - Union Omaha	2:0 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Union Omaha - Fort Wayne	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
11.04.26	Union Omaha - Forward Madison	1:0
18.10.25	Union Omaha - Forward Madison	4:0
07.06.25	Forward Madison - Union Omaha	0:1
03.05.25	Forward Madison - Union Omaha	0:0
USL Cup
29.08.24	Forward Madison - Union Omaha	4:3 penalties
USL League One
03.08.24	Union Omaha - Forward Madison	2:2
20.06.24	Forward Madison - Union Omaha	2:0

Upcoming Matches