Match Info

World Cup - Qualification

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday

Location: Windsor Park (Belfast)

Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Bulgaria	Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 10
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	UEFA TV
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 3
Ireland	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Three
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Mexico	Sky Sport
New-zealand	Sky Sport 6
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Slovakia	STVR Sport
South-africa	SuperSport Action
South-america	ViX Latin America
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	Exxen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Sport, BBC Two, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Northern Ireland		Slovakia

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.88	3.4
	2.75	3.25	2.55
	2.48	2.98	3.25
	2.52	3.01	3.37
	2.66	2.92	3.00	Watch
	2.55	3.05	3.39	Watch
	2.8	3.15	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.92)	3.03 ↑ (3.02)	3.08 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northern Ireland
37.1%

Draw
31.7%

Slovakia
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

31.5%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northern Ireland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Slovakia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.9%	54.8%	32.3%

Northern Ireland - Slovakia Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Northern Ireland will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Slovakia will win (votes: 10 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.4% – 71.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Northern Ireland (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Slovakia (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Tie (votes: 9 - 64.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Northern Ireland (1.62) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.5 - Slovakia (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Slovakia (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Slovakia (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Northern Ireland (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Slovakia (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Tie (votes: 9 - 47.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Peacock-Farrell B. (G) Blackpool 4. Ballard D. Sunderland 17. McNair P. San Diego FC 5. Hume T. Sunderland 2. Bradley C. (C) Liverpool 7. Galbraith E. Swansea 19. Charles S. Southampton 16. McCann A. Preston 15. Devenny J. Crystal Palace 18. Reid J. Stevenage 14. Price I. West Brom	1. Dubravka M. (G) Burnley 6. Gyomber N. Al Kholood 5. Satka L. Samsunspor 14. Skriniar M. (C) Fenerbahce 4. Obert A. Cagliari 21. Bero M. Bochum 13. Hrosovsky P. Genk 8. Duda O. Al Ettifaq FC 18. Schranz I. Slavia Prague 15. Strelec D. Middlesbrough 7. Sauer L. Feyenoord
Substitutes
9. Charles D. Huddersfield 10. Donley J. Stoke City 12. Hazard C. (G) Plymouth 21. Magennis J. Exeter 8. Marshall C. West Ham 13. McConville R. Norwich 22. McDonnell J. Mansfield 6. Saville G. Luton 11. Smyth P. QPR 23. Southwood L. (G) Bristol Rovers 20. Spencer B. Oxford Utd 3. Toal E. Bolton	10. Benes L. Kayserispor 9. Bozenik R. Stoke City 20. Duris D. Rosenborg 17. Haraslin L. Sparta Prague 16. Kozlovsky S. Widzew Lodz 3. Mesik I. Heracles 22. Mraz S. Servette 2. Pekarik P. Hertha Berlin 19. Rigo T. Stoke City 12. Rodak M. (G) Al Ettifaq FC 23. Takac D. (G) Slovan Bratislava 11. Tupta L. AEL Larissa
Coaches
O'Neill Mi.	Calzona F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Hrosovsky P. (Own goal), Galbraith E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Ballard D. 🟨,
63', Schranz I. ↓, Haraslin L. ↑,
63', Duda O. ↓, Rigo T. ↑,
71', Reid J. ↓, Charles D. ↑,
76', Bradley C. 🟨,
81', 2 - 0, Hume T. ⚽,
82', Sauer L. ↓, Tupta L. ↑,
85', Galbraith E. ↓, Spencer B. ↑,
89', Hrosovsky P. ↓, Benes L. ↑,
89', Strelec D. ↓, Mraz S. ↑,
90+2', Bradley C. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,

Preview

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Northern Ireland: Charles P. (Shoulder Injury) Thompson J. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Slovakia: Greif D. (Inactive) Hancko D. (Personal Reasons) Lobotka S. (Muscle Injury) Schranz I. (Injury) Suslov T. (Knee Injury) Vavro D. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Northern Ireland won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northern Ireland
FIFA World Cup
07.09.25	Germany - Northern Ireland	3:1 ✺
04.09.25	Luxembourg - Northern Ireland	1:3 ✺
Friendly
10.06.25	Northern Ireland - Iceland	1:0 ✺
07.06.25	Denmark - Northern Ireland	2:1 ✺
25.03.25	Sweden - Northern Ireland	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWLL
- Slovakia
FIFA World Cup
07.09.25	Luxembourg - Slovakia	0:1 ✺
04.09.25	Slovakia - Germany	2:0 ✺
Friendly
10.06.25	Israel - Slovakia	1:0 ✺
07.06.25	Greece - Slovakia	4:1 ✺
UEFA Nations League
23.03.25	Slovenia - Slovakia	1:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro
12.11.20	Northern Ireland - Slovakia	1:2 ET
Friendly
04.06.16	Slovakia - Northern Ireland	0:0

Northern Ireland - Slovakia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide