Match Info

Premier League - Round 1

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: City Ground (Nottingham)

Referee: Bankes P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Nottingham Forest		Brentford

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	4.2
	2.1	3.3	3.6
	1.92	3.6	4.1	Watch
	1.93	3.6	4.25
	1.33	4.52	10.91	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.5
	1.89	3.56	4.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.09)	3.63 ↑ (3.5)	5.01 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nottingham Forest
52.8%

Draw
27.4%

Brentford
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

27.2%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nottingham Forest's performance.

Brentford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brentford might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63%	17.4%	19.6%

Nottingham Forest - Brentford Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Nottingham will win (votes: 29 - 65.9%). Brentford will win (votes: 9 - 20.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 51.9% – 79.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Brentford (1.92) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 6 - 66.7%) .

AH +0.5 - Nottingham (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Brentford (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nottingham Forest will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Nottingham (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Brentford (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Sels M. (G) 34. Aina O. 31. Milenkovic N. 5. Murillo 3. Williams N. 6. Sangare I. 8. Anderson E. 14. Ndoye D. 10. Gibbs-White M. (C) 7. Hudson-Odoi C. 11. Wood Ch.	1. Kelleher C. (G) 33. Kayode M. 22. Collins N. (C) 4. van den Berg S. 3. Henry R. 8. Jensen M. 18. Yarmolyuk Y. 23. Lewis-Potter K. 17. Milambo A. 14. Carvalho F. 9. Thiago I.
Substitutes
44. Abbott Z. 9. Awoniyi T. 30. Boly W. 23. Cunha 18. Gunn A. (G) 19. Igor Jesus 20. Jota Silva 4. Morato 22. Yates R.	20. Ajer K. 43. Arthur B. 6. Henderson J. 2. Hickey A. 15. Onyeka F. 25. Peart-Harris M. 30. Roerslev Rasmussen M. 7. Schade K. 12. Valdimarsson H. R. (G)
Coaches
Espirito Santo N.	Andrews K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Wood Ch. ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, Ndoye D. ⚽, Gibbs-White M. (A),
45+2', 3 - 0, Wood Ch. ⚽, Anderson E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Milambo A. ↓, Schade K. ↑,
52', Collins N. 🟨,
53', Williams N. 🟨,
69', Jensen M. ↓, Henderson J. ↑,
69', Lewis-Potter K. ↓, Onyeka F. ↑,
78', 3 - 1, Thiago I. (Pen),
79', Wood Ch. ↓, Igor Jesus ↑,
79', Ndoye D. ↓, Jota Silva ↑,
84', Gibbs-White M. ↓, Yates R. ↑,
88', Henry R. ↓, Hickey A. ↑,
90', Hickey A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 1.

Recent form of Nottingham has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Brentford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nottingham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Nottingham: Dominguez N. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Brentford: Gustavo Nunes (Hamstring Injury) Maghoma P. (Injury) Pinnock E. (Injury) Wissa Y. (Coach's decision)

There are questionable in Brentford: Schade K. (Lacking Match Fitness)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 25:35. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Nottingham won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 1:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nottingham Forest
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Nottingham Forest - Al-Qadisiya	0:0 ✺
05.08.25	Nottingham Forest - Fiorentina	0:0 ✺
02.08.25	Birmingham City - Nottingham Forest	1:0 ✺
30.07.25	Estoril Praia - Nottingham Forest	0:0 ✺
26.07.25	Fulham - Nottingham Forest	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TTLTL
- Brentford FC
Club Friendly
08.08.25	Brentford - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:2 ✺
02.08.25	Queens Park Rangers - Brentford	0:1 ✺
25.07.25	Gil Vicente - Brentford	1:1 ✺
English Premier League
25.05.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Brentford	1:1 ✺
18.05.25	Brentford - Fulham	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
01.05.25	Nottingham Forest - Brentford	0:2
21.12.24	Brentford - Nottingham Forest	0:2
20.01.24	Brentford - Nottingham Forest	3:2
01.10.23	Nottingham Forest - Brentford	1:1
29.04.23	Brentford - Nottingham Forest	2:1
05.11.22	Nottingham Forest - Brentford	2:2
English League Championship
20.03.21	Brentford - Nottingham Forest	1:1

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