Match Info

Premier League - Round 23

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Brentford Community Stadium (London)

Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Variety 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 8, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport 360
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 6, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 3
India	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport MIX
Japan	U-NEXT
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 4, Canal+ Action, Canal+, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	FOX One
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 4
Nigeria	SuperSport Variety 1
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 3
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Canal+ Extra 5
Portugal	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	Hub Premier 3
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play


	Brentford		Nottingham Forest

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	4.33
	2	3.4	3.8
	1.88	3.55	4.45
	1.91	3.65	4.73
	1.86	3.62	4.61	Watch
	1.83	3.4	4.33
	1.84	3.66	4.69	Watch
	1.83	3.4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.09)	3.54 ↑ (3.52)	4.46 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Brentford
51.3%

Draw
27.2%

Nottingham Forest
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

27.2%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

26.6%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brentford's performance.

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nottingham Forest might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.5%	7.9%	9.5%

Brentford - Nottingham Forest Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Brentford (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Brentford (1.33) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 0.75, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Nottingham (3.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Brentford will win (52 of 63 users predict this - 82.54%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.17% – 91.91%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brentford will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Brentford (votes: 23 - 85.2%). Nottingham (votes: 2 - 7.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 7.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kelleher C. (G) 33. Kayode M. 20. Ajer K. 22. Collins N. (C) 3. Henry R. 18. Yarmolyuk Y. 27. Janelt V. 8. Jensen M. 24. Damsgaard M. 7. Schade K. 9. Thiago I.	26. Sels M. (G) 34. Aina O. 31. Milenkovic N. 5. Murillo 3. Williams N. 6. Sangare I. 8. Anderson E. 7. Hudson-Odoi C. 10. Gibbs-White M. (C) 16. Dominguez N. 19. Igor Jesus
Substitutes
45. Donovan R. 6. Henderson J. 2. Hickey A. 23. Lewis-Potter K. 11. Nelson R. 19. Ouattara Da. 5. Pinnock E. 12. Valdimarsson H. R. (G) 4. van den Berg S.	9. Awoniyi T. 29. Bakwa D. 18. Gunn A. (G) 21. Hutchinson O. 24. McAtee J. 4. Morato 14. Ndoye D. 37. Savona N. 22. Yates R.
Coaches
Andrews K.	Dyche S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Igor Jesus ⚽,
37', Ajer K. ↓, van den Berg S. ↑,
37', Damsgaard M. ↓, Ouattara Da. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Dominguez N. ↓, Hutchinson O. ↑,
66', Yarmolyuk Y. 🟨,
67', Henry R. ↓, Hickey A. ↑,
68', Igor Jesus ↓, Awoniyi T. ↑,
79', 0 - 2, Awoniyi T. ⚽, Gibbs-White M. (A),
81', Kayode M. ↓, Lewis-Potter K. ↑,
81', Yarmolyuk Y. ↓, Henderson J. ↑,
87', Hudson-Odoi C. ↓, Morato ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brentford won 2.

Brentford is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nottingham is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nottingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Nottingham has had a series of away games.

In this match, Brentford is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Brentford: Carvalho F. (Knee Injury) Dasilva J. (Knee Injury) Milambo A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Nottingham: John Victor (Knee Injury) Wood Ch. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Brentford: Henderson J. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brentford won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 33:27. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Brentford won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.6:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10:4	6	9
13	Nottingham	5	1	2	2	4:5	-1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Brentford - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 45.89%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Nottingham Forest - the odds 3.57 are the expected chance of winning is 26.86%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brentford FC
English Premier League
17.01.26	Chelsea - Brentford	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Sheffield Wednesday - Brentford	0:2 ✺
English Premier League
07.01.26	Brentford - Sunderland	3:0 ✺
04.01.26	Everton - Brentford	2:4 ✺
01.01.26	Brentford - Tottenham Hotspur	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWWT
- Nottingham Forest
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Braga - Nottingham Forest	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
17.01.26	Nottingham Forest - Arsenal	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
09.01.26	Wrexham - Nottingham Forest	4:3 penalties ✺
English Premier League
06.01.26	West Ham United - Nottingham Forest	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
17.08.25	Nottingham Forest - Brentford	3:1
01.05.25	Nottingham Forest - Brentford	0:2
21.12.24	Brentford - Nottingham Forest	0:2
20.01.24	Brentford - Nottingham Forest	3:2
01.10.23	Nottingham Forest - Brentford	1:1
29.04.23	Brentford - Nottingham Forest	2:1
05.11.22	Nottingham Forest - Brentford	2:2

Upcoming Matches