Match Info

Premier League - Round 17

Date: 22 December 2025, Monday

Location: Craven Cottage (London)

Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Fulham		Nottingham Forest

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.3	2.75
	2.37	3.4	2.95
	2.62	3.3	2.8
	2.5	3.31	3.1
	2.55	3.41	2.89	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.8
	2.65	3.38	2.92	Watch
	2.5	3.33	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.19)	3.32 ↓ (3.47)	2.88 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fulham
37.8%

Draw
28.9%

Nottingham Forest
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

27.4%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

27.5%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fulham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fulham's form might have worsened.

Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fulham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60.5%	20.9%	18.6%

Fulham - Nottingham Forest Predictions

Users Predictions: 86 users predict this event. Fulham will win (votes: 52 - 60.5%). Nottingham will win (votes: 16 - 18.6%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 20.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fulham: 50.2% – 70.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 35 Selected Experts predict this event. Fulham (votes: 20 - 57.1%). Nottingham (votes: 4 - 11.4%). Tie (votes: 11 - 31.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH 0 - Nottingham (2.01) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH -0.25 - Fulham (2.10) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 40 Selected Experts predict this event. Fulham (votes: 22 - 55%). Nottingham (votes: 7 - 17.5%). Tie (votes: 11 - 27.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leno B. (G) 2. Tete K. 5. Andersen J. (C) 15. Cuenca J. 33. Robinson A. 20. Lukic S. 16. Berge S. 8. Wilson H. 32. Smith Rowe E. 22. Kevin 7. Jimenez R.	13. John Victor (G) 37. Savona N. 31. Milenkovic N. 5. Murillo 3. Williams N. 8. Anderson E. 12. Douglas Luiz 21. Hutchinson O. 10. Gibbs-White M. (C) 7. Hudson-Odoi C. 19. Igor Jesus
Substitutes
10. Cairney T. 21. Castagne T. 31. Diop I. 24. King J. 18. Kusi Asare J. 23. Lecomte B. (G) 6. Reed H. 38. Ridgeon S. 11. Traore A.	44. Abbott Z. 9. Awoniyi T. 29. Bakwa D. 16. Dominguez N. 15. Kalimuendo A. 24. McAtee J. 4. Morato 26. Sels M. (G) 35. Zinchenko O.
Coaches
Silva M.	Dyche S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+4', John Victor 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 0, Jimenez R. (Penalty Awarded),
45+7', Jimenez R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Berge S. 🟨,
66', Berge S. ↓, Cairney T. ↑,
70', Murillo 🟨,
72', Igor Jesus ↓, Awoniyi T. ↑,
73', Douglas Luiz ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,
73', Gibbs-White M. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
77', Wilson H. 🟨,
78', Kevin ↓, King J. ↑,
81', Savona N. ↓, Zinchenko O. ↑,
82', Cuenca J. 🟨,
83', Milenkovic N. 🟨,
84', Wilson H. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
85', Smith Rowe E. ↓, Diop I. ↑,
85', Jimenez R. ↓, Kusi Asare J. ↑,
90+2', Hudson-Odoi C. ↓, Kalimuendo A. ↑,
90+4', Andersen J. 🟨,
90+6', Dominguez N. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 17)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fulham won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Nottingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Fulham: Bassey C. (International duty) Chukwueze S. (International duty) Iwobi A. (International duty) Rodrigo Muniz (Hamstring Injury) Sessegnon R. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Nottingham: Aina O. (Hamstring Injury) Boly W. (International duty) Sangare I. (International duty) Wood Ch. (Knee Injury) Yates R. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Nottingham: Awoniyi T. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Fulham won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 39:27. (average 2.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Fulham won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:12. (average 2.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fulham FC
English League Cup
17.12.25	Newcastle United - Fulham	2:1 ✺
English Premier League
13.12.25	Burnley - Fulham	2:3 ✺
07.12.25	Fulham - Crystal Palace	1:2 ✺
02.12.25	Fulham - Manchester City	4:5 ✺
29.11.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Fulham	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLLW
- Nottingham Forest
English Premier League
14.12.25	Nottingham Forest - Tottenham Hotspur	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Utrecht - Nottingham Forest	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
06.12.25	Everton - Nottingham Forest	3:0 ✺
03.12.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Nottingham Forest	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Nottingham Forest - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
26.07.25	Fulham - Nottingham Forest	3:1
English Premier League
15.02.25	Fulham - Nottingham Forest	2:1
28.09.24	Nottingham Forest - Fulham	0:1
02.04.24	Nottingham Forest - Fulham	3:1
06.12.23	Fulham - Nottingham Forest	5:0
11.02.23	Fulham - Nottingham Forest	2:0
16.09.22	Nottingham Forest - Fulham	2:3

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