Match Info

Date: 1 October 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Meadow Lane (Nottingham) 🌤️ ...


	Notts County		Altrincham

	1	X	2
	1.36	5	6.5
	1.36	4.75	6
	1.38	5	6.1
	1.38	4.8	6.4
	1.38	4.94	7.56
	1.42	4.2	6.5
	1.36	5	7.4
	1.37	4.7	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.45)	4.8 ↑ (4)	6.61 ↓ (6.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notts County
66.9%

Draw
19.2%

Altrincham
13.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.3%

22.9%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

21.6%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Altrincham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altrincham than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	5.6%	27.8%

Notts County - Altrincham Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Altrincham will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Notts County is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Altrincham is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Notts County is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Notts County to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Notts County won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Notts County won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notts County
English National League
24.09.22	York City - Notts County	1:3 ✺
17.09.22	Dorking Wanderers - Notts County	3:1 ✺
13.09.22	Notts County - Aldershot Town	2:0 ✺
03.09.22	Dagenham & Redbridge - Notts County	0:5 ✺
29.08.22	Notts County - Solihull Moors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWWW
- Altrincham
English National League
24.09.22	Altrincham - Aldershot Town	1:0 ✺
17.09.22	Dagenham & Redbridge - Altrincham	4:1 ✺
13.09.22	Altrincham - Scunthorpe United	2:2 ✺
03.09.22	Solihull Moors - Altrincham	5:1 ✺
29.08.22	Altrincham - Chesterfield	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
07.05.22	Notts County - Altrincham	3:0
English FA Trophy
18.12.21	Notts County - Altrincham	2:1
English National League
25.09.21	Altrincham - Notts County	1:0
01.05.21	Altrincham - Notts County	1:1
07.10.20	Notts County - Altrincham	3:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notts County
English League One
31.10.26	Mansfield Town - Notts County	✺
- Altrincham
English National League
31.10.26	Altrincham - Carlisle United	✺

Notts County - Altrincham