Match Info

Date: 13 September 2022, Tuesday

Location: Meadow Lane (Nottingham)


	Notts County		Aldershot Town

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	7.5
	1.34	5	7.25
	1.32	5	7.5
	1.31	5	7.8
	1.33	5.51	8.6
	1.3	4.6	8.5
	1.31	5.25	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.37)	5.05 ↑ (4.68)	7.96 ↑ (7.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notts County
70.1%

Draw
18.3%

Aldershot Town
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

19.9%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

19%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Aldershot Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	8.3%	33.3%

Notts County - Aldershot Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Aldershot will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Notts County won 2.

Notts County is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Aldershot is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Notts County is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Notts County to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Notts County won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Notts County won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notts County
English National League
03.09.22	Dagenham & Redbridge - Notts County	0:5 ✺
29.08.22	Notts County - Solihull Moors	1:0 ✺
27.08.22	Halifax Town - Notts County	1:4 ✺
20.08.22	Notts County - Chesterfield	2:2 ✺
16.08.22	Gateshead - Notts County	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWTT
- Aldershot Town
English National League
03.09.22	Aldershot Town - Barnet	3:1 ✺
29.08.22	Aldershot Town - Maidstone United	1:3 ✺
26.08.22	Oldham Athletic - Aldershot Town	2:1 ✺
20.08.22	Aldershot Town - Bromley	0:1 ✺
16.08.22	Boreham Wood - Aldershot Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
30.04.22	Aldershot Town - Notts County	3:1
04.09.21	Notts County - Aldershot Town	3:2
30.03.21	Notts County - Aldershot Town	0:1
07.11.20	Aldershot Town - Notts County	1:0
10.03.20	Notts County - Aldershot Town	3:1
23.11.19	Aldershot Town - Notts County	2:1

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