Match Info

Date: 17 September 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Dorking Wanderers		Notts County

	1	X	2
	5.75	4	1.5
	5	4.2	1.52
	5.2	4.3	1.5
	5.2	4.3	1.51
	5.76	4.48	1.53
	4.4	3.7	1.65
	5.4	4.5	1.51
	5	4.2	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.21 ↑ (3.14)	4.21 ↑ (3.4)	1.53 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dorking Wanderers
17.7%

Draw
21.9%

Notts County
60.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.7%

26.5%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

26.3%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorking Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dorking Wanderers's form might have worsened.

Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Notts County's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dorking Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Notts County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Dorking Wanderers - Notts County Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Dorking will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Notts County will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Preview

Recent matches Dorking is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Notts County in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Notts County is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorking Wanderers
English National League
13.09.22	Barnet - Dorking Wanderers	0:1 ✺
03.09.22	Dorking Wanderers - Wrexham	0:5 ✺
29.08.22	Dorking Wanderers - Boreham Wood	1:4 ✺
27.08.22	Solihull Moors - Dorking Wanderers	3:0 ✺
20.08.22	Dorking Wanderers - Gateshead	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLLLW
- Notts County
English National League
13.09.22	Notts County - Aldershot Town	2:0 ✺
03.09.22	Dagenham & Redbridge - Notts County	0:5 ✺
29.08.22	Notts County - Solihull Moors	1:0 ✺
27.08.22	Halifax Town - Notts County	1:4 ✺
20.08.22	Notts County - Chesterfield	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notts County
English League One
31.10.26	Mansfield Town - Notts County	✺

Dorking Wanderers - Notts County