Match Info

League Two - Round 5

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Meadow Lane (Nottingham)

Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)


	Notts County		Bromley

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.25
	2.22	3.25	3.15	Watch
	2.29	3.42	3.16
	1.49	4.51	5.53	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.25
	2.16	3.4	3.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.83)	3.53 ↑ (3.5)	3.55 ↓ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notts County
46%

Draw
27.1%

Bromley
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

26.9%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

28.8%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Notts County's form might have worsened.

Bromley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bromley's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Notts County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bromley than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bromley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

Notts County - Bromley Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Bromley will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Notts County (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Bromley (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Bromley (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Bromley (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Notts County (votes: 2 - 40%). Bromley (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roos K. (G) 23. Aljofree S. 3. McDonald R. 4. Bedeau J. 37. Cotter B. 8. Norburn O. 18. Palmer M. (C) 14. Iorpenda T. 25. Tsaroulla N. 10. Jones J. 19. Dennis M.	1. Smith G. (G) 3. Elerewe D. 5. Sowunmi O. 30. Odutayo I. 26. Ifill M. 20. Arthurs J. (C) 8. Thompson B. 16. Hondermarck W. 11. Pinnock M. 7. Krauhaus B. 9. Cheek M.
Substitutes
47. Bennetts K. 2. Gordon K. 11. Grant C. 21. Griffiths H. (G) 26. Hall T. 17. Kouhyar Q. 28. Macari L.	6. Cameron K. 4. Charles A. 10. Dinanga M. 31. Ilunga B. 14. Kabamba N. 12. Long S. (G) 17. Webster B.
Coaches
Paterson M.	Woodman A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', Arthurs J. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Dennis M. ⚽, Roos K. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Thompson B. ⚽,
30', Sowunmi O. 🟨,
31', 2 - 1, Dennis M. ⚽, Palmer M. (A),
36', Odutayo I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Thompson B. ↓, Charles A. ↑,
46', Elerewe D. ↓, Webster B. ↑,
46', Krauhaus B. ↓, Dinanga M. ↑,
60', Norburn O. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
61', Jones J. ↓, Hall T. ↑,
66', Ifill M. ↓, Ilunga B. ↑,
71', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Bennetts K. ↑,
72', Cotter B. ↓, Gordon K. ↑,
81', Cheek M. ↓, Kabamba N. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Odutayo I. ⚽, Sowunmi O. (A),
85', Pinnock M. 🟨,
85', Bedeau J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 1.

Notts County is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bromley is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Notts County may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Notts County might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Notts County: Robertson S. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Notts County: Jarvis W. (Inactive) Jatta A. (Inactive) Luker J. (Injury) Ness L. (Inactive) Traore M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Bromley: Jenkinson C. (Inactive)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notts County
English League Two
20.08.25	Notts County - Shrewsbury Town	4:1 ✺
16.08.25	Barrow - Notts County	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Wigan Athletic - Notts County	1:0 ✺
English League Two
09.08.25	Notts County - Salford City	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	Newport County - Notts County	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLLT
- Bromley FC
English League Two
19.08.25	Cheltenham Town - Bromley	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Bromley - Fleetwood Town	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Bromley - Ipswich Town	2:1 penalties ✺
English League Two
09.08.25	Bromley - Barnet	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Shrewsbury Town - Bromley	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
25.01.25	Notts County - Bromley	1:1
14.09.24	Bromley - Notts County	2:4
English National League
04.03.23	Bromley - Notts County	1:1
01.11.22	Notts County - Bromley	1:1
29.01.22	Bromley - Notts County	1:0
26.10.21	Notts County - Bromley	1:1
29.05.21	Bromley - Notts County	1:0

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