Match Info

League Two - Play Offs - Final

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Wembley Stadium (London) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Argentina	11:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	00:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	16:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
Brazil	11:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	17:00	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada
Croatia	16:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	16:00	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	16:00	Viaplay
Finland	17:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Georgia	18:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	16:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Hungary	16:00	Match 4
Iceland	14:00	SÝN Sport Ísland 3, Viaplay
India	19:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	21:00	Vidio
Ireland	15:00	NOW
Israel	17:00	Sport 1
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kenya	17:00	Gotv
Kosovo	16:00	Arena Premium 1
Malta	16:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	08:00	Disney+
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	02:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	15:00	SupeSport ESPN 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	16:00	Viaplay
Peru	09:00	Disney+
Serbia	16:00	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	16:00	Nova Sport 4
Slovenia	16:00	Arena Sport 3
South Africa	16:00	SupeSport ESPN
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	16:00	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event
Turkey	17:00	Exxen, S Sport+
United Kingdom	15:00	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	10:00	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+


	Notts County		Salford City

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.55	Watch
	2.55	3.2	2.65
	2.82	2.98	2.62	Watch
	3.29	2.98	2.57
	3.09	2.96	2.45	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.5
	2.81	3.22	2.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.64)	3.03 ↑ (3)	2.54 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notts County
32.2%

Draw
30.9%

Salford City
36.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.2%

30.9%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

31.8%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Notts County - Salford City Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Salford will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Belshaw J. (G) 12. Ness L. 3. McDonald R. (C) 4. Bedeau J. 25. Tsaroulla N. 8. Norburn O. 20. Robertson S. 10. Jones J. 14. Iorpenda T. 16. Luker J. 29. Jatta A.	1. Young M. (G) 19. Mnoga H. 22. Oluwo A. 15. Cooper B. 29. Garbutt L. (C) 26. Graydon R. 18. Butcher M. 17. Austerfield J. 45. Longelo-Mbule R. 21. Cesay K. 23. Udoh D.
Substitutes
47. Bennetts K. 19. Dennis M. 11. Grant C. 21. Griffiths H. (G) 17. Kouhyar Q. 39. Ndlovu L. 18. Palmer M.	16. Borini F. 24. Dorrington A. 14. Harris K. 33. Howard M. (G) 9. Stockton C. 6. Turton O. 7. Woodburn B.
Coaches
Paterson M.	Robinson K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', Tsaroulla N. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Jatta A. ⚽, Jones J. (A),
44', Mnoga H. 🟨,
45', 2 - 0, Ness L. ⚽, McDonald R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Butcher M. ↓, Woodburn B. ↑,
57', Ness L. 🟨,
60', Longelo-Mbule R. ↓, Harris K. ↑,
60', Cooper B. ↓, Borini F. ↑,
68', Luker J. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
70', 3 - 0, Jones J. ⚽, Grant C. (A),
78', Norburn O. ↓, Palmer M. ↑,
85', Austerfield J. ↓, Stockton C. ↑,
86', Jones J. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
86', Jatta A. ↓, Ndlovu L. ↑,
87', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Bennetts K. ↑,
90+3', Woodburn B. 🟨,

Preview

Neutral location - Wembley Stadium.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 0.

Notts County has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Salford is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Notts County: Macari L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Salford: Awe Z. (Inactive) Bird J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Edwards T. (Inactive) Rose M. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Notts County: Platt M. (Inactive) Tangen H. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Salford: Ashley O. (Inactive) Grant J. (Inactive)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.9:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Salford	13	9	1	3	23:14	9	28

Outrights of English League Two for now

Salford: 9.82%

Last Results with these Odds

Notts County - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 35.17%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Salford City - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 33.88%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notts County
English League Two
15.05.26	Notts County - Chesterfield	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Chesterfield - Notts County	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Notts County - Bristol Rovers	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Colchester United - Notts County	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Notts County - Barnet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWTWL
- Salford City
English League Two
15.05.26	Salford City - Grimsby Town	2:2 ET ✺
10.05.26	Grimsby Town - Salford City	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Crawley Town - Salford City	0:0 ✺
23.04.26	Salford City - Bromley	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Oldham Athletic - Salford City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
03.04.26	Salford City - Notts County	2:1
09.08.25	Notts County - Salford City	1:2
11.04.25	Notts County - Salford City	1:3
14.12.24	Salford City - Notts County	3:0
23.03.24	Notts County - Salford City	1:2
15.09.23	Salford City - Notts County	0:2
English FA Cup
06.11.15	Salford City - Notts County	2:0

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