Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 12 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: The Brick Community Stadium (Wigan)

Referee: Yates O. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Wigan Athletic		Notts County

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.9	Watch
	1.9	3.5	4
	1.92	3.55	3.7	Watch
	1.95	3.47	3.99
	1.02	1.00	1.00	Watch
	1.91	3.4	4
	1.92	3.48	4.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.13)	3.13 ↓ (3.27)	3.53 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Wigan Athletic
48%

Draw
27.6%

Notts County
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

28.7%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

28%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	18.2%	0%

Wigan Athletic - Notts County Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Wigan Athletic will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wigan Athletic will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tickle S. (G) 6. Weir J. 15. Kerr J. (C) 19. Robinson L. 27. Brenan T. 2. Mabaya I. 44. Hungbo J. 8. Wright C. 14. Trevitt R. 10. Mullin P. 37. Asamoah M.	1. Roos K. (G) 23. Aljofree S. 3. McDonald R. 4. Bedeau J. 37. Cotter B. 14. Iorpenda T. 18. Palmer M. (C) 47. Bennetts K. 10. Jones J. 11. Grant C. 16. Luker J.
Substitutes
11. Costelloe D. 35. Francois T. 28. Graham L. 24. McHugh H. 22. Mellish J. 7. Murray F. 48. Rogers J. 9. Saydee C. 12. Watson T. (G)	19. Dennis M. 22. Edwards C. 2. Gordon K. 21. Griffiths H. (G) 26. Hall T. 6. Hinchy J. 17. Kouhyar Q. 8. Norburn O. 5. Platt M.
Coaches
Lowe R.	Paterson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Mullin P. (Pen),
23', Brenan T. 🟨,
29', Mabaya I. ↓, Murray F. ↑,
32', Cotter B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cotter B. ↓, Gordon K. ↑,
54', Tickle S. 🟨,
64', Brenan T. ↓, Graham L. ↑,
64', Mullin P. ↓, Costelloe D. ↑,
64', Grant C. ↓, Hall T. ↑,
64', Jones J. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
68', Murray F. 🟨,
73', Bennetts K. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
74', Wright C. ↓, McHugh H. ↑,
75', Asamoah M. ↓, Saydee C. ↑,
83', Weir J. 🟨,

Preview

Wigan is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Notts County has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Wigan has had a series of away games.

In this match, Wigan is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigan Athletic
English League One
09.08.25	Leyton Orient - Wigan Athletic	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Wigan Athletic - Northampton Town	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Tranmere Rovers - Wigan Athletic	0:1 ✺
19.07.25	Accrington Stanley - Wigan Athletic	2:4 ✺
12.07.25	Curzon Ashton - Wigan Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWT
- Notts County
English League Two
09.08.25	Notts County - Salford City	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	Newport County - Notts County	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Notts County - Cardiff City	2:2 ✺
15.07.25	Stuttgarter Kickers - Notts County	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	Kaiserslautern - Notts County	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTTTL

Upcoming Matches