Match Info

League One - Round 1

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Meadow Lane (Nottingham)

Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Notts County		Leicester City

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	1.96	Watch
	3.50	3.40	2.00
	3.55	3.3	2.02	Watch
	3.94	3.53	2.05
	3.58	3.44	2.03	Watch
	3.8	3.45	1.99
	3.72	3.43	1.97	Watch
	3.55	3.4	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (3.47)	3.42 ↑ (3.33)	2.01 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notts County
25.8%

Draw
27.5%

Leicester City
46.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.7%

27.8%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

26.5%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Leicester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Notts County - Leicester City Predictions

Users Predictions: Leicester City will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Belshaw J. (G) 2. Gibbons J. 12. Ness L. 4. Bedeau J. (C) 25. Tsaroulla N. 14. Lipsiuc D. 16. Campbell D. 15. Evans J. 7. Roberts C. 8. Cooper O. 19. Smyth L.	29. McCarthy A. (G) 2. Joseph J. 5. Okoli C. 15. Souttar H. (C) 33. Thomas L. 22. Skipp O. 7. Burns W. 36. Braybrooke S. 11. Cullen L. 37. Alves W. 14. De Cordova-Reid B.
Substitutes
33. Acquah E. 44. Baker M. 11. Grant C. 21. Griffiths H. (G) 17. Kouhyar Q. 42. Mustapha H. 20. Robertson S.	56. Aluko O. 9. Bristric A. 17. Choudhury H. 20. Howell H. 18. McFarlane C. 1. Stolarczyk J. (G) 23. Watson T.
Coaches
Paterson M.	Martin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Evans J. 🟨,
21', Paterson M. 🟨,
43', Gibbons J. 🟨,
44', Alves W. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 0 - 1, Joseph J. ⚽, Braybrooke S. (A),
67', Smyth L. ↓, Acquah E. ↑,
67', Evans J. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
67', Roberts C. ↓, Mustapha H. ↑,
70', Burns W. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
71', De Cordova-Reid B. ↓, Choudhury H. ↑,
77', Alves W. ↓, Howell H. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Grant C. ⚽,
83', Campbell D. ↓, Robertson S. ↑,
84', Cullen L. ↓, Bristric A. ↑,

Preview

Notts County has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Leicester is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Notts County has had a series of away games.

Leicester might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Notts County: Macari L. (Inactive) Platt M. (Inactive) Samuels-Smith I. (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Notts County won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Including home match between the teams, Notts County won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Leicester	8	2	3	3	10:14	-4	9
22	Notts County	8	1	4	3	8:11	-3	7

Outrights of English League One for now

Leicester: 7.7% Notts County: 0.76%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notts County
English League Cup
08.08.26	Burnley - Notts County	2:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Walsall - Notts County	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	Notts County - Nottingham Forest	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Randers FC - Notts County	3:1 ✺
11.07.26	Viborg - Notts County	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL
- Leicester City
English League Cup
08.08.26	Leicester City - Northampton Town	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Leicester City - Genoa	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Málaga - Leicester City	3:3 ✺
22.07.26	Cádiz - Leicester City	0:1 ✺
18.07.26	Burton Albion - Leicester City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
21.07.18	Notts County - Leicester City	1:4

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