The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wycombe Wanderers 52%
Draw 25.5%
Notts County 22.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.9%
26.5%
28.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.6%
26.6%
28.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wycombe Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wycombe Wanderers's performance.
Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Notts County might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wycombe Wanderers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Notts County could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
60%
0%
Wycombe Wanderers - Notts County Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Wycombe will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Hazard C. (G) 2. Grimmer J. (C) 45. Hagelskjaer A. 26. Taylor C. 44. Onyedinma F. 8. Boyd-Munce C. 4. Scowen J. 21. Mullins J. 3. Harvie D. 12. Woodrow C. 15. Wareham J.
1. Belshaw J. (G) 12. Ness L. 3. McDonald R. (C) 4. Bedeau J. 2. Gibbons J. 27. Finneran R. 6. Sanders M. H. 25. Tsaroulla N. 7. Roberts C. 15. Evans J. 39. Ndlovu L.
Substitutes
17. Casey D. 20. Henderson E. 10. Leahy L. 5. Morley A. 7. Quitirna A. 11. Thomas S. 33. Wildsmith J. (G)
11. Grant C. 9. Kanu D. 17. Kouhyar Q. 14. Lipsiuc D. 18. Palmer M. 20. Robertson S. 26. Samuels-Smith I.
Coaches
Hounsell T.
Paterson M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Grimmer J. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Sanders M. H. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ness L. ↓, Samuels-Smith I. ↑,
61', Sanders M. H. ↓, Robertson S. ↑,
62', Evans J. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
62', Ndlovu L. ↓, Kanu D. ↑,
62', Finneran R. ↓, Palmer M. ↑,
70', Mullins J. ↓, Quitirna A. ↑,
77', Robertson S. 🟨,
83', Woodrow C. ↓, Henderson E. ↑,
86', 2 - 0, Onyedinma F. ⚽, Harvie D. (A),
89', Boyd-Munce C. ↓, Leahy L. ↑,
90+4', Gibbons J. 🟨,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 15th and 22nd in the Relegation - League Two).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wycombe won 1.
Wycombe is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Notts County has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Wycombe could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Wycombe holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Wycombe: Ings D.
(Injury).
Confirmed absences for Notts County: Acquah E.
(Injury)
Campbell D.
(Injury)
Enoru B.
(Muscle Injury)
Macari L.
(Broken Leg)
Platt M.
(Muscle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Notts County: Mustapha H.
(Inactive).
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Wycombe has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:7 (averaging 0.9:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Wycombe against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 4:7 goals (averaging 1:1.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
15
Wycombe
12
3
6
3
19:23
-4
15
19
Notts County
11
2
5
4
11:14
-3
11
Outrights of English League One for now
Wycombe: 2.7% Notts County: 0.45%
Last Results with these Odds
Wycombe Wanderers - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.9%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.