The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Notts County 40.6%
Draw 27.5%
Oxford United 31.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33%
27.8%
39.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.2%
27.9%
39%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Notts County's performance.
Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oxford United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Notts County that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oxford United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
42.9%
42.9%
Notts County - Oxford United Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Oxford will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Belshaw J. (G) 12. Ness L. 3. McDonald R. 4. Bedeau J. 2. Gibbons J. 8. Cooper O. 18. Palmer M. (C) 26. Samuels-Smith I. 7. Roberts C. 11. Grant C. 9. Kanu D.
1. Cumming J. (C) 30. Kioso P. 6. Helik M. 3. Brown C. 26. Currie J. 11. Goodrham T. 8. Brannagan C. 57. Missanga M. 32. Sibley L. 23. Dembele S. 9. Harris M.
Substitutes
15. Evans J. 27. Finneran R. 14. Lipsiuc D. 10. Longelo-Mbule R. 6. Sanders M. H. 19. Smyth L. 25. Tsaroulla N.
4. Andrews K. 13. Eastwood S. (G) 2. Long S. 20. Lynch L. 19. O'Donkor G. 27. Snowden L. 15. Spencer B.
Coaches
Paterson M.
Ramsey A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
7', McDonald R. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Harris M. ⚽,
23', Cooper O. 🟨,
44', Sibley L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gibbons J. ↓, Tsaroulla N. ↑,
46', Cooper O. ↓, Finneran R. ↑,
46', Palmer M. ↓, Sanders M. H. ↑,
47', Sanders M. H. 🟨,
58', Bedeau J. 🟨,
58', Sibley L. ↓, Andrews K. ↑,
65', Grant C. ↓, Smyth L. ↑,
66', Missanga M. ↓, Snowden L. ↑,
66', Goodrham T. ↓, O'Donkor G. ↑,
70', Finneran R. 🟨,
76', Dembele S. ↓, Lynch L. ↑,
76', Currie J. ↓, Spencer B. ↑,
77', Ness L. 🟨,
82', Kioso P. 🟨,
87', Helik M. 🟨,
88', 0 - 2, Brannagan C. ⚽, Lynch L. (A),
90+1', 1 - 2, Finneran R. ⚽, Tsaroulla N. (A),
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 20th and 10th).
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Notts County could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Notts County: Acquah E.
(Injury)
Enoru B.
(Muscle Injury)
Macari L.
(Broken Leg)
Platt M.
(Muscle Injury)
Sanders M. H.
(Calf Injury).
Confirmed absences for Oxford: Emakhu A.
(Muscle Injury)
Jeon Jin-Woo
(Back Injury)
Roosken R.
(Back Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Notts County: Campbell D.
(Injury).
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Notts County has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:7 (averaging 1.5:3.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Notts County against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:4 goals.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Oxford Utd
9
5
3
1
18:10
8
18
18
Notts County
10
2
4
4
10:13
-3
10
Outrights of English League One for now
Oxford Utd: 5.01% Notts County: 0.56%
Last Results with these Odds
Oxford United - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.23%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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Belshaw J. (G) 
Bedeau J. 
Cooper O. 
Grant C. 
Kanu D. 
Kioso P. 
Helik M. 
Brown C. 
Dembele S. 
Smyth L. 
Tsaroulla N. 
